TV

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YES
0.8% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -8.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $2.91
14-Week RSI 52
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 0.9x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.92

Grupo Televisa (TV) closed at $2.89 as of 2026-06-12, trading 0.8% below its 200-week moving average of $2.91. This places TV in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -8.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.92 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1647 weeks of data, TV has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 39 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -4.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $1523 million, TV is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 157.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -7.6%. The stock trades at 0.3x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.5% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 31.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TV would have grown to $43, compared to $2832 for the S&P 500. TV has returned -2.6% annualized vs 11.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: TV vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After TV Crosses Below the Line?

Across 24 historical episodes, buying TV when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -1.8% after 12 months (median -1.0%), compared to +8.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 45% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +9.9% vs +26.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TV crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from TV's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -0.09σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.04σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +0.5pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +156.9pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-29.1pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

TV has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +-4.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 1994Sep 199714570.6%-53.7%-54.8%
Oct 1997Nov 199715.6%-12.5%-39.6%
Aug 1998Mar 19993042.1%+26.0%-35.0%
Feb 2001May 20011224.3%+1.0%-50.8%
May 2001Dec 20013037.8%-1.3%-56.0%
Jan 2002Jan 200214.0%-29.4%-55.2%
Feb 2002Feb 2002312.2%-40.4%-54.6%
May 2002Jan 20048748.0%-29.0%-55.8%
Sep 2008Nov 20095847.1%-4.9%-78.6%
Nov 2009Nov 200910.5%+15.7%-80.5%
Dec 2009Dec 200910.6%+26.2%-80.5%
Jan 2010Mar 201078.9%+24.8%-80.2%
May 2010Oct 20102212.6%+26.2%-78.6%
Aug 2011Aug 201111.2%+21.1%-80.2%
Sep 2011Oct 201156.6%+23.8%-79.6%
Nov 2011Nov 201114.9%+25.8%-79.3%
May 2012Jun 201213.1%+39.1%-79.5%
Sep 2015Oct 201558.9%-4.5%-85.9%
Nov 2015Nov 201513.3%-19.5%-86.4%
Nov 2015May 202128672.4%-30.5%-86.8%
Sep 2021Mar 20222419.7%-51.5%-67.0%
Apr 2022Feb 202619969.3%-50.9%-63.1%
Feb 2026Apr 2026710.5%N/A-2.0%
Apr 2026Ongoing7+9.6%Ongoing-0.3%
Average39+-4.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TV below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-06-12, Grupo Televisa (TV) is trading 0.8% below its 200-week moving average of $2.91. The current price is $2.89.

What is TV's 200-week moving average price?

Grupo Televisa's 200-week moving average is $2.91 as of 2026-06-12. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when TV drops below its 200-week moving average?

TV has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -4.5%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 39 weeks on average.

Is TV a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about TV as of 2026-06-12: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 157.9%. Return on equity is -7.6%. Price-to-book is 0.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does TV compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 31.7 years, $100 invested in TV would have grown to $43, compared to $2832 for the S&P 500. That's -2.6% annualized vs 11.1% for the index. TV has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does TV pay a dividend?

Yes. Grupo Televisa currently pays a dividend yield of 341.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-12