TTE

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NO
30.9% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 28.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $56.39
14-Week RSI 78

TotalEnergies SE (TTE) closed at $73.83 as of 2026-02-02, trading 30.9% above its 200-week moving average of $56.39. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 28.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, TTE is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1741 weeks of data, TTE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TTE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.1%.

With a market cap of $158.2 billion, TTE is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 12.2%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.8% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TTE would have grown to $2990, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.8% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming TTE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -4.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: TTE vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After TTE Crosses Below the Line?

Across 34 historical episodes, buying TTE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.4% after 12 months (median +7.0%), compared to +8.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 76% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +31.6% vs +25.9% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TTE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

TTE has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +11.1% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 1992Oct 199236.6%+30.3%+2766.4%
Nov 1992Feb 1993169.4%+19.7%+2621.5%
Sep 2001Sep 200111.7%+6.7%+745.5%
Nov 2001Nov 200110.2%+13.2%+721.6%
Sep 2002Sep 200212.5%+23.9%+692.1%
Nov 2002Dec 200231.5%+24.8%+665.4%
Jan 2003Apr 2003146.4%+46.6%+690.4%
Sep 2008Sep 200810.1%-5.2%+217.4%
Sep 2008Oct 20095429.1%+7.4%+261.1%
Oct 2009Nov 200912.9%-3.8%+220.2%
Jan 2010Jan 20115123.3%+2.6%+211.6%
Jun 2011Jun 201121.0%-14.4%+215.3%
Jul 2011Oct 20111420.9%-12.9%+216.3%
Oct 2011Dec 201189.6%+4.5%+228.1%
Jan 2012Jan 201211.9%+13.1%+233.5%
Apr 2012Jul 20121613.1%+8.8%+241.9%
Apr 2013Apr 201311.2%+55.0%+230.7%
Dec 2014Dec 201410.1%-3.7%+182.8%
Jan 2015Jan 201511.8%-11.5%+187.3%
Mar 2015Mar 201515.1%+6.9%+196.3%
Jun 2015Jul 201510.9%+6.4%+179.7%
Jul 2015Oct 20151110.9%+5.1%+183.8%
Oct 2015Nov 201532.2%+6.0%+177.5%
Nov 2015Apr 20162016.3%+5.9%+179.9%
May 2016Aug 2016145.2%+14.6%+170.0%
Sep 2016Oct 201645.7%+24.2%+179.9%
Oct 2016Dec 201654.8%+27.4%+170.8%
Aug 2019Aug 201920.6%-11.9%+128.1%
Jan 2020Feb 202010.4%-5.9%+119.3%
Feb 2020Feb 20215248.0%+1.8%+122.0%
Apr 2021May 202110.2%+17.2%+117.9%
Jul 2021Aug 202134.4%+19.7%+123.3%
Aug 2021Aug 202112.9%+31.7%+122.1%
Sep 2021Sep 202111.6%+24.1%+119.0%
Average9+11.1%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02