TTC

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NO
15.3% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 7.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $85.14
14-Week RSI 85

The Toro Company (TTC) closed at $98.20 as of 2026-02-02, trading 15.3% above its 200-week moving average of $85.14. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 7.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 85, TTC is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2346 weeks of data, TTC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TTC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.2%.

With a market cap of $9.6 billion, TTC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 21.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.6x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.8% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TTC would have grown to $13506, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.9% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming TTC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 55.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: TTC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After TTC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 17 historical episodes, buying TTC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.2% after 12 months (median +20.0%), compared to +8.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 56% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.1% vs +21.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TTC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

TTC has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +14.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 1981Nov 19828947.1%-36.6%+41350.5%
Nov 1982Dec 198252.0%+7.4%+41862.2%
Aug 1983Nov 1983169.2%+6.1%+41350.5%
Mar 1984Mar 198412.6%+69.1%+41862.2%
Apr 1984May 198441.5%+46.3%+41350.5%
Nov 1987Dec 1987211.1%+58.4%+23035.8%
Aug 1990Mar 19912839.9%-3.5%+14481.4%
Apr 1991Jan 19939236.8%-9.0%+14176.3%
Jun 1993Jun 199321.5%+45.2%+14008.8%
Jul 1998Apr 19993847.4%+13.3%+6843.4%
Nov 1999Dec 199932.1%+6.7%+6492.9%
Feb 2000Jun 2000179.8%+21.9%+6922.3%
Jun 2000Oct 20001810.4%+38.2%+6431.6%
Jan 2008Jan 200811.4%-21.9%+1079.8%
Mar 2008Dec 20099351.2%-43.6%+1051.2%
Jan 2010Feb 201048.5%+52.5%+1108.7%
Mar 2020Mar 202017.1%+81.7%+87.0%
May 2022May 202215.4%+41.1%+38.2%
Jun 2022Jul 202256.4%+31.3%+38.9%
Sep 2023Dec 20231511.8%+1.2%+24.8%
Jan 2024Jan 202411.8%-12.1%+13.8%
Feb 2024Jun 20241414.2%-11.4%+10.7%
Jun 2024Jul 202435.9%-23.3%+8.2%
Jul 2024Jan 20267527.8%-18.1%+11.3%
Average22+14.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02