TT

Trane Technologies plc Industrials - HVAC Investor Relations →

NO
63.1% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 51.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $278.88
14-Week RSI 52

Trane Technologies plc (TT) closed at $454.76 as of 2026-02-02, trading 63.1% above its 200-week moving average of $278.88. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 51.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2346 weeks of data, TT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.0%.

With a market cap of $100.8 billion, TT is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.1%. Return on equity stands at 37.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 11.7x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TT would have grown to $11237, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.3% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming TT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 26.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: TT vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After TT Crosses Below the Line?

Across 16 historical episodes, buying TT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.6% after 12 months (median +37.0%), compared to +2.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 81% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.5% vs +12.5% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

TT has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +11.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jun 1981Jun 198310438.0%-39.0%+42407.0%
Jul 1983Sep 198386.4%-25.3%+50184.1%
Oct 1983Jan 19841214.0%-4.4%+56516.7%
Jan 1984Jan 19854927.0%-3.1%+50080.5%
Oct 1990Jan 19911622.1%+48.8%+23952.8%
Feb 1995Mar 199532.1%+39.9%+11936.5%
Feb 2000Mar 2000615.8%+15.1%+5620.7%
Apr 2000Apr 200011.4%+3.2%+5189.0%
Jun 2000Aug 20001012.7%+13.0%+5364.9%
Sep 2000Apr 20013126.5%-10.1%+5085.8%
Jun 2001Feb 20023431.2%+3.9%+4737.0%
Jul 2002Apr 20034326.6%+7.3%+4641.7%
Jan 2008Feb 200866.7%-50.3%+2550.4%
Jun 2008Nov 20097468.5%-39.9%+2354.1%
Jan 2010Mar 2010610.7%+43.2%+2788.4%
Mar 2010Mar 201010.1%+40.1%+2601.1%
Jun 2010Jul 201033.8%+42.4%+2702.7%
Aug 2010Sep 201032.3%-6.0%+2658.8%
Aug 2011Jan 20122319.7%+35.8%+2808.0%
Jan 2016Jan 201611.0%+59.1%+1264.8%
Jun 2022Jun 202210.6%+57.2%+291.7%
Average21+11.0%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02