TSN
Tyson Foods, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Farm Products Investor Relations →
Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) closed at $65.26 as of 2026-02-02, trading 14.9% above its 200-week moving average of $56.78. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 14.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 84, TSN is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, TSN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TSN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.9%.
With a market cap of $23.0 billion, TSN is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 1.3%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TSN would have grown to $652, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. TSN has returned 5.8% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: TSN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TSN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying TSN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.9% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +15.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.2% vs +28.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TSN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TSN has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +26.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1981 | Feb 1982 | 25 | 20.0% | +23.6% | +3284.1% |
| Apr 1983 | Nov 1983 | 32 | 35.0% | +25.9% | +3109.1% |
| Jan 1984 | Jan 1984 | 1 | 1.5% | +114.3% | +2854.4% |
| Jan 1984 | Mar 1984 | 9 | 7.3% | +121.9% | +2808.2% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 1 | 0.1% | +53.7% | +2678.0% |
| Aug 1984 | Aug 1984 | 2 | 1.8% | +40.3% | +2678.0% |
| Apr 1985 | Apr 1985 | 2 | 4.5% | +41.1% | +2449.7% |
| Oct 1987 | Jun 1988 | 35 | 37.7% | +4.9% | +1838.4% |
| Aug 1988 | May 1989 | 41 | 15.1% | +34.0% | +1608.8% |
| Apr 1994 | Apr 1994 | 1 | 2.2% | +24.4% | +698.8% |
| Apr 1994 | May 1994 | 2 | 1.2% | +22.2% | +688.6% |
| Dec 1994 | Dec 1994 | 1 | 0.2% | +23.9% | +628.4% |
| Feb 1996 | Mar 1996 | 4 | 2.5% | +35.6% | +579.4% |
| Apr 1996 | Apr 1996 | 1 | 1.9% | +25.3% | +586.1% |
| Aug 1998 | Aug 1998 | 1 | 3.3% | -4.9% | +471.2% |
| Mar 1999 | Mar 1999 | 1 | 2.3% | -42.2% | +440.4% |
| Jul 1999 | May 2002 | 148 | 53.1% | -48.5% | +436.2% |
| Jul 2002 | Sep 2003 | 61 | 39.9% | -19.6% | +594.1% |
| Jan 2006 | May 2006 | 13 | 10.8% | +28.1% | +547.2% |
| Jun 2006 | Jun 2006 | 1 | 1.7% | +56.7% | +534.5% |
| Jul 2006 | Sep 2006 | 9 | 9.6% | +65.4% | +537.2% |
| Oct 2006 | Nov 2006 | 4 | 5.9% | +16.9% | +531.1% |
| Oct 2007 | Mar 2008 | 24 | 22.0% | -33.8% | +439.7% |
| Jun 2008 | Feb 2010 | 87 | 69.9% | -16.5% | +458.3% |
| Jul 2012 | Jul 2012 | 2 | 1.6% | +82.0% | +471.8% |
| Aug 2012 | Aug 2012 | 1 | 1.8% | +110.9% | +469.5% |
| Jul 2018 | Aug 2018 | 1 | 0.4% | +41.2% | +39.2% |
| Nov 2018 | Jan 2019 | 8 | 13.1% | +50.0% | +35.9% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 1.6% | +38.2% | +34.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 40 | 22.6% | +2.4% | +14.9% |
| Dec 2020 | Feb 2021 | 9 | 3.3% | +34.7% | +16.9% |
| Sep 2022 | Aug 2024 | 101 | 31.3% | -24.4% | +4.4% |
| Sep 2024 | Nov 2024 | 9 | 8.4% | -7.1% | +10.9% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2025 | 53 | 14.1% | -6.7% | +7.9% |
| Average | 22 | — | +26.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02