TROX
Tronox Holdings plc Materials - Titanium Dioxide Investor Relations →
Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) closed at $4.42 as of 2026-09-11, trading 53.6% below its 200-week moving average of $9.53. This places TROX in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -49.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 27, TROX is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.24 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 775 weeks of data, TROX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -14.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $706 million, TROX is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -41.3%. The stock trades at 0.6x book value.
Share count has increased 2.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 14.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TROX would have grown to $36, compared to $792 for the S&P 500. TROX has returned -6.7% annualized vs 14.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: TROX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TROX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying TROX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -21.0% after 12 months (median -19.0%), compared to +14.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 35% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -16.4% vs +34.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TROX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. TROX currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.37 | $-0.51 | -38.6% |
| 2026-05-06 | $-0.41 | $-0.55 | -35.7% |
| 2026-02-18 | $-0.58 | $-0.60 | -3.7% |
| 2025-11-05 | $-0.21 | $-0.46 | -119.2% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from TROX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
TROX has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +-14.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2011 | Jan 2012 | 9 | 13.9% | -27.2% | -64.3% |
| Jun 2012 | Sep 2013 | 63 | 40.4% | -12.1% | -67.8% |
| Oct 2013 | Jan 2014 | 10 | 8.7% | +11.7% | -67.6% |
| Jan 2014 | Feb 2014 | 5 | 5.0% | +1.9% | -67.0% |
| May 2014 | May 2014 | 1 | 0.7% | -13.5% | -68.5% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 2 | 4.2% | -64.1% | -68.1% |
| Nov 2014 | Dec 2014 | 3 | 5.2% | -74.2% | -69.2% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2017 | 109 | 82.1% | -80.0% | -68.9% |
| Jun 2017 | Jun 2017 | 1 | 1.6% | +48.8% | -57.2% |
| Sep 2018 | Mar 2019 | 28 | 44.9% | -24.7% | -55.6% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 7 | 26.4% | -35.5% | -48.8% |
| Jul 2019 | Nov 2020 | 73 | 67.8% | -39.8% | -52.2% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 7 | 15.9% | +17.8% | -54.2% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 3 | 3.2% | +5.6% | -61.1% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 17 | 19.8% | +29.7% | -60.1% |
| Jul 2023 | Feb 2024 | 30 | 28.8% | +24.0% | -62.3% |
| Jul 2024 | Ongoing | 113+ | 75.7% | Ongoing | -68.2% |
| Average | 28 | — | +-14.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TROX below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-11, Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) is trading 53.6% below its 200-week moving average of $9.53. The current price is $4.42.
What is TROX's 200-week moving average price?
Tronox Holdings plc's 200-week moving average is $9.53 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when TROX drops below its 200-week moving average?
TROX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -14.5%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is TROX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about TROX as of 2026-09-11: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 27 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -41.3%. Price-to-book is 0.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does TROX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 14.9 years, $100 invested in TROX would have grown to $36, compared to $792 for the S&P 500. That's -6.7% annualized vs 14.9% for the index. TROX has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does TROX pay a dividend?
Yes. Tronox Holdings plc currently pays a dividend yield of 436.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11