TROW
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) closed at $94.58 as of 2026-02-02, trading 5.6% below its 200-week moving average of $100.22. This places TROW in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 5.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 39, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2031 weeks of data, TROW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TROW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.3%.
With a market cap of $20.7 billion, TROW is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 18.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
TROW is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 537.00%. Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 2.7% reduction over three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TROW would have grown to $6906, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.6% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming TROW as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -26.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: TROW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TROW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying TROW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.1% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +12.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.3% vs +26.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TROW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TROW has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +28.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1987 | Jun 1988 | 43 | 46.7% | -10.0% | +20910.8% |
| Aug 1988 | Sep 1988 | 5 | 5.3% | +70.6% | +23800.3% |
| Oct 1990 | Dec 1990 | 8 | 18.7% | +122.0% | +21501.0% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 5 | 13.6% | +30.4% | +1082.6% |
| Jun 2001 | Jun 2001 | 1 | 2.0% | -2.3% | +1001.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 17 | 27.0% | -19.9% | +977.4% |
| Apr 2002 | Apr 2002 | 1 | 1.0% | -12.9% | +964.7% |
| Jun 2002 | May 2003 | 51 | 33.5% | +12.1% | +962.5% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 41 | 51.2% | +15.4% | +317.5% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 1 | 1.4% | +19.1% | +275.6% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 5.3% | +42.7% | +266.2% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 2 | 2.0% | +2.8% | +246.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 5.1% | +37.4% | +237.0% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 2 | 3.2% | +39.7% | +231.5% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 1 | 0.1% | -0.3% | +98.8% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 0.2% | +13.2% | +95.4% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 8 | 6.9% | +19.2% | +107.5% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 1.8% | +9.3% | +92.0% |
| Jul 2016 | Nov 2016 | 16 | 10.9% | +20.1% | +89.0% |
| Jan 2017 | May 2017 | 14 | 5.3% | +77.8% | +89.7% |
| May 2017 | May 2017 | 2 | 2.2% | +75.2% | +84.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 1.4% | +94.2% | +33.1% |
| Apr 2022 | Aug 2025 | 173 | 32.0% | -4.7% | -8.7% |
| Sep 2025 | Nov 2025 | 11 | 2.5% | N/A | -8.3% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 5.6% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 16 | — | +28.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02