TRN
Trinity Industries, Inc. Industrials - Railcar Leasing Investor Relations →
Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) closed at $29.60 as of 2026-03-20, trading 14.4% above its 200-week moving average of $25.88. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 14.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.43 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2711 weeks of data, TRN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 55 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TRN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.0%.
With a market cap of $2.4 billion, TRN is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 23.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TRN would have grown to $1123, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. TRN has returned 7.5% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: TRN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TRN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 40 historical episodes, buying TRN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.8% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +20.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +37.1% vs +36.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TRN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TRN has crossed below its 200-week MA 55 times with an average 1-year return of +28.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1974 | Apr 1975 | 52 | 48.6% | -6.0% | +33325.8% |
| Nov 1978 | Dec 1978 | 2 | 1.9% | +153.3% | +15497.7% |
| Feb 1982 | Oct 1982 | 37 | 27.6% | +55.5% | +5237.9% |
| Nov 1982 | Jan 1983 | 8 | 11.5% | +64.4% | +4460.4% |
| Jun 1984 | Jun 1984 | 1 | 1.4% | -18.7% | +3349.4% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 3 | 17.2% | +3.2% | +3457.2% |
| Dec 1984 | Dec 1984 | 2 | 8.5% | +11.5% | +3705.2% |
| Jan 1985 | Feb 1985 | 1 | 1.9% | +8.7% | +3493.4% |
| Feb 1985 | Dec 1985 | 41 | 16.0% | +15.1% | +3676.2% |
| Dec 1985 | Dec 1985 | 1 | 2.1% | +19.7% | +3603.7% |
| Jul 1986 | Aug 1986 | 5 | 11.1% | +84.9% | +3319.6% |
| Sep 1986 | Sep 1986 | 1 | 1.8% | +90.1% | +3265.3% |
| Oct 1986 | Oct 1986 | 2 | 1.8% | +78.1% | +3240.2% |
| Nov 1987 | Nov 1987 | 1 | 5.3% | +78.6% | +2933.9% |
| Jan 1990 | Jun 1991 | 72 | 43.8% | -23.5% | +1782.0% |
| Jun 1991 | Sep 1991 | 12 | 10.9% | +17.4% | +1670.6% |
| Sep 1991 | Oct 1991 | 2 | 4.2% | +23.2% | +1674.0% |
| Nov 1991 | Jan 1992 | 8 | 11.0% | +30.4% | +1636.2% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 8 | 6.2% | +15.0% | +870.4% |
| Dec 1995 | Dec 1995 | 1 | 0.7% | +21.9% | +848.9% |
| Jul 1996 | Aug 1996 | 3 | 3.6% | +51.0% | +808.1% |
| Aug 1996 | Sep 1996 | 2 | 2.8% | +52.8% | +769.6% |
| Feb 1997 | May 1997 | 14 | 9.9% | +76.1% | +744.8% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 2 | 2.3% | +5.6% | +617.9% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 5.4% | +1.3% | +637.7% |
| Mar 1999 | Apr 1999 | 4 | 11.0% | -27.4% | +599.8% |
| May 1999 | Jul 1999 | 7 | 4.9% | -27.8% | +600.0% |
| Aug 1999 | Jul 2003 | 204 | 43.2% | -39.6% | +560.5% |
| Apr 2005 | May 2005 | 3 | 3.2% | +139.6% | +712.2% |
| Nov 2007 | Jan 2008 | 12 | 21.2% | -40.4% | +364.0% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 11 | 15.6% | -60.5% | +334.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2010 | 114 | 78.1% | -41.4% | +320.0% |
| Dec 2010 | Dec 2010 | 1 | 0.2% | +20.5% | +403.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 5.4% | +40.0% | +463.1% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 2 | 4.5% | +49.4% | +453.7% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 2 | 8.3% | +1.7% | +136.5% |
| Dec 2015 | Nov 2016 | 50 | 38.3% | +22.1% | +139.5% |
| Feb 2017 | Jun 2017 | 17 | 6.7% | +26.0% | +106.1% |
| Jul 2017 | Jul 2017 | 3 | 1.3% | +29.1% | +101.2% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 0.2% | +17.5% | +95.6% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 3 | 2.5% | +7.7% | +98.3% |
| Jul 2019 | Oct 2019 | 14 | 17.4% | +8.4% | +104.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 12 | 27.3% | +74.1% | +107.8% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 7 | 4.6% | +35.6% | +80.1% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 5 | 5.5% | +50.9% | +87.3% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 2 | 7.3% | +53.4% | +91.7% |
| Jul 2022 | Jul 2022 | 2 | 2.3% | +18.6% | +54.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 5.9% | +18.6% | +53.9% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 2 | 5.0% | +23.0% | +51.8% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 6 | 10.6% | +47.6% | +53.9% |
| Sep 2023 | Sep 2023 | 1 | 0.3% | +37.4% | +39.2% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 6 | 13.7% | +64.2% | +51.9% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 12 | 4.7% | N/A | +23.4% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 6.7% | N/A | +25.2% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 3 | 1.4% | N/A | +16.7% |
| Average | 14 | — | +28.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRN below its 200-week moving average?
No. Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) is currently 14.4% above its 200-week moving average of $25.88. It would need to fall to $25.88 to cross below the line.
What is TRN's 200-week moving average price?
Trinity Industries, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $25.88 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when TRN drops below its 200-week moving average?
TRN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 55 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is TRN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about TRN as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 55. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 23.2%. Price-to-book is 2.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does TRN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in TRN would have grown to $1123, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 7.5% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. TRN has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does TRN pay a dividend?
Yes. Trinity Industries, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 419.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20