TRMD
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TORM (TRMD) closed at $35.08 as of 2026-09-11, trading 73.7% above its 200-week moving average of $20.19. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 63.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 73, TRMD is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 398 weeks of data, TRMD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 4 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TRMD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +87.3%.
With a market cap of $3.6 billion, TRMD is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.4%. Return on equity stands at 26.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Share count has increased 23.9% over three years, indicating dilution. TRMD passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 7.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TRMD would have grown to $1376, compared to $316 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 40.3% vs 16.0% for the index — confirming TRMD as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -21% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: TRMD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TRMD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying TRMD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +89.2% after 12 months (median +44.0%), compared to +25.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 92% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +189.6% vs +35.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TRMD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices TRMD would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where TRMD's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $18.42 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $25.00 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $38.87 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $87.34 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | N/A | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | $3.90 | $3.26 | -16.4% |
| 2026-05-13 | $1.23 | $1.17 | -4.7% |
| 2026-02-26 | $0.85 | $0.85 | +0.3% |
| 2025-11-06 | $0.77 | $0.84 | +10.3% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from TRMD's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
TRMD has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +87.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2019 | Mar 2019 | 7 | 15.9% | +44.4% | +1276.2% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 2.7% | +11.5% | +1033.9% |
| Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | 5.8% | +28.1% | +1002.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 8.5% | +40.8% | +973.5% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 2 | 1.6% | +33.9% | +952.1% |
| Jun 2020 | Aug 2020 | 9 | 13.4% | +29.7% | +945.2% |
| Aug 2020 | Oct 2020 | 5 | 4.4% | +20.6% | +976.2% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 2 | 5.3% | +29.0% | +941.0% |
| Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | 1.4% | +319.5% | +896.7% |
| Jan 2022 | Feb 2022 | 3 | 6.6% | +338.8% | +947.8% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 11 | 19.4% | +78.9% | +151.0% |
| Jun 2025 | Jul 2025 | 4 | 3.3% | +72.6% | +142.5% |
| Average | 4 | — | +87.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRMD below its 200-week moving average?
No. TORM (TRMD) is currently 73.7% above its 200-week moving average of $20.19. It would need to fall to $20.19 to cross below the line.
What is TRMD's 200-week moving average price?
TORM's 200-week moving average is $20.19 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when TRMD drops below its 200-week moving average?
TRMD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +87.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 4 weeks on average.
Is TRMD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about TRMD as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 73 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 0.4%. Return on equity is 26.8%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does TRMD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 7.8 years, $100 invested in TRMD would have grown to $1376, compared to $316 for the S&P 500. That's 40.3% annualized vs 16.0% for the index. TRMD has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does TRMD pay a dividend?
Yes. TORM currently pays a dividend yield of 1260.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11