TNK
Teekay Tankers Ltd. Industrials - Crude Tankers Investor Relations →
Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) closed at $100.83 as of 2026-09-11, trading 104.3% above its 200-week moving average of $49.36. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 90.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, TNK is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.02 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 930 weeks of data, TNK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 54 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TNK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.5%.
With a market cap of $3.5 billion, TNK is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 28.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
TNK passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 17.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TNK would have grown to $321, compared to $1172 for the S&P 500. TNK has returned 6.7% annualized vs 14.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -58% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: TNK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TNK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying TNK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.9% after 12 months (median +1.0%), compared to +16.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 56% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +94.6% vs +20.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TNK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices TNK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where TNK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $58.94 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $65.20 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $72.96 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $82.81 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $95.74 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | $5.53 | $5.56 | +0.5% |
| 2026-05-13 | $3.54 | $3.69 | +4.3% |
| 2026-02-18 | $2.73 | $2.80 | +2.4% |
| 2025-10-29 | $1.46 | $1.54 | +5.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from TNK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
TNK has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +28.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2008 | Mar 2010 | 68 | 63.7% | +78.5% | +464.1% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 3 | 4.2% | -49.6% | +132.3% |
| Apr 2011 | Oct 2014 | 184 | 63.9% | -38.0% | +138.2% |
| Feb 2016 | Oct 2019 | 191 | 68.5% | -36.6% | +325.4% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 2 | 1.9% | +23.8% | +824.4% |
| Aug 2020 | Nov 2020 | 14 | 23.3% | -7.9% | +850.7% |
| Dec 2020 | Feb 2021 | 8 | 14.1% | -2.0% | +931.9% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 4 | 11.3% | +99.2% | +924.7% |
| Nov 2021 | Feb 2022 | 14 | 15.7% | +189.1% | +872.0% |
| Average | 54 | — | +28.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TNK below its 200-week moving average?
No. Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) is currently 104.3% above its 200-week moving average of $49.36. It would need to fall to $49.36 to cross below the line.
What is TNK's 200-week moving average price?
Teekay Tankers Ltd.'s 200-week moving average is $49.36 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when TNK drops below its 200-week moving average?
TNK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 54 weeks on average.
Is TNK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about TNK as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 75 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 6.5%. Return on equity is 28.0%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does TNK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 17.9 years, $100 invested in TNK would have grown to $321, compared to $1172 for the S&P 500. That's 6.7% annualized vs 14.7% for the index. TNK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does TNK pay a dividend?
Yes. Teekay Tankers Ltd. currently pays a dividend yield of 102.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11