TME

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Communication Services - Music Streaming Investor Relations โ†’

NO
48.6% ABOVE
โ†“ Approaching Was 53.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $11.00
14-Week RSI 12 ๐Ÿ“‰

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) closed at $16.34 as of 2026-02-02, trading 48.6% above its 200-week moving average of $11.00. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 53.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 12, TME is in oversold territory.

Over the past 325 weeks of data, TME has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 59 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TME at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +42.9%.

With a market cap of $27.5 billion, TME is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 19.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 14.8%. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.1% over the past three years.

Over the past 6.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TME would have grown to $134, compared to $241 for the S&P 500. TME has returned 4.8% annualized vs 14.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 55% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: TME vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After TME Crosses Below the Line?

Across 3 historical episodes, buying TME when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.0% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +11.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -51.0% vs +26.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TME crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

TME has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +42.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 2019Jun 20203233.0%+35.5%+35.2%
May 2021Feb 202414575.2%-73.0%+9.8%
Sep 2024Sep 202412.9%+166.2%+74.0%
Average59โ€”+42.9%โ€”

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02