TKO
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Communication Services Investor Relations →
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) closed at $185.95 as of 2026-05-01, trading 52.8% above its 200-week moving average of $121.72. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 54.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1336 weeks of data, TKO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TKO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.6%.
With a market cap of $13.9 billion, TKO is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 5.6%. The stock trades at 3.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 25.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TKO would have grown to $2932, compared to $793 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.1% vs 8.4% for the index — confirming TKO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 4 open-market purchases totaling $500,316,310. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 33.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: TKO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TKO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying TKO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.4% after 12 months (median +20.0%), compared to +6.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +40.0% vs +18.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TKO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TKO has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +15.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2000 | Jan 2001 | 14 | 24.5% | -13.1% | +2832.4% |
| Feb 2001 | Mar 2002 | 56 | 31.0% | -21.3% | +2525.9% |
| Mar 2002 | Apr 2002 | 2 | 4.9% | -46.2% | +2950.4% |
| Apr 2002 | Dec 2003 | 86 | 51.3% | -40.0% | +2909.2% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 3 | 6.0% | -10.3% | +3517.6% |
| Apr 2005 | Jun 2005 | 9 | 9.7% | +70.9% | +3887.6% |
| Nov 2008 | Jun 2009 | 30 | 29.4% | +24.8% | +2509.2% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 4 | 3.8% | +45.2% | +2407.5% |
| Jan 2011 | Feb 2011 | 4 | 3.0% | -13.4% | +2163.8% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 1 | 0.1% | -23.9% | +2096.4% |
| Apr 2011 | Jun 2013 | 115 | 31.1% | -24.2% | +2242.7% |
| Aug 2013 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 2.0% | +44.8% | +2255.7% |
| Sep 2013 | Sep 2013 | 1 | 1.3% | +56.2% | +2278.9% |
| Jan 2015 | Jan 2015 | 2 | 3.1% | +68.0% | +2051.0% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2020 | 2 | 7.7% | +17.1% | +375.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Jan 2021 | 46 | 27.8% | +29.1% | +373.8% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 4 | 11.1% | +6.0% | +306.3% |
| May 2021 | May 2021 | 1 | 1.2% | +9.4% | +271.8% |
| Jul 2021 | Sep 2021 | 11 | 14.3% | +27.0% | +294.0% |
| Nov 2021 | Mar 2022 | 18 | 17.8% | +35.8% | +255.5% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 3 | 1.5% | +84.8% | +238.9% |
| Average | 20 | — | +15.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TKO below its 200-week moving average?
No. TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) is currently 52.8% above its 200-week moving average of $121.72. It would need to fall to $121.72 to cross below the line.
What is TKO's 200-week moving average price?
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $121.72 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when TKO drops below its 200-week moving average?
TKO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +15.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is TKO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about TKO as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 41. Free cash flow yield is 5.5%. Return on equity is 5.6%. Price-to-book is 3.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does TKO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25.7 years, $100 invested in TKO would have grown to $2932, compared to $793 for the S&P 500. That's 14.1% annualized vs 8.4% for the index. TKO has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does TKO pay a dividend?
Yes. TKO Group Holdings, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 168.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01