TK

Teekay Corporation Energy Investor Relations →

NO
96.1% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 104.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $6.07
14-Week RSI 60
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.0x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.10

Teekay Corporation (TK) closed at $11.91 as of 2026-06-19, trading 96.1% above its 200-week moving average of $6.07. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 104.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.10 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1565 weeks of data, TK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 86 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -27.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $1036 million, TK is a small-cap stock. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 12.5% over the past three years.

Over the past 30.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TK would have grown to $265, compared to $1875 for the S&P 500. TK has returned 3.3% annualized vs 10.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -16.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: TK vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After TK Crosses Below the Line?

Across 7 historical episodes, buying TK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -29.0% after 12 months (median -49.0%), compared to -5.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 29% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.3% vs +12.9% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from TK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation +1.16σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -1.73σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +6.8pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+19.6pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

TK has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +-27.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 1998Feb 20009443.7%-34.9%+138.3%
Sep 2002Oct 200233.0%+53.8%+102.5%
Jan 2008Jan 200812.5%-56.3%-39.0%
Feb 2008Apr 2008711.3%-61.7%-40.1%
Jun 2008Oct 201012071.6%-48.8%-39.4%
Aug 2011Oct 20111217.8%+35.7%-11.1%
Jul 2015Aug 202236884.6%-80.8%-48.3%
Average86+-27.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TK below its 200-week moving average?

No. Teekay Corporation (TK) is currently 96.1% above its 200-week moving average of $6.07. It would need to fall to $6.07 to cross below the line.

What is TK's 200-week moving average price?

Teekay Corporation's 200-week moving average is $6.07 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when TK drops below its 200-week moving average?

TK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -27.6%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 86 weeks on average.

Is TK a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about TK as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 60. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does TK compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 30.1 years, $100 invested in TK would have grown to $265, compared to $1875 for the S&P 500. That's 3.3% annualized vs 10.2% for the index. TK has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19