TJX
The TJX Companies Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Retail Investor Relations →
The TJX Companies Inc. (TJX) closed at $156.83 as of 2026-05-01, trading 49.0% above its 200-week moving average of $105.26. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 49.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.00 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1979 weeks of data, TJX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TJX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.9%.
With a market cap of $174.2 billion, TJX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.2%. Return on equity stands at 59.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 17.0x book value.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TJX would have grown to $28371, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.5% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming TJX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 23.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: TJX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TJX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying TJX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +36.5% after 12 months (median +42.0%), compared to +12.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +84.4% vs +25.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TJX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TJX has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +28.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1988 | Jun 1988 | 3 | 15.8% | +65.9% | +62953.0% |
| Jul 1988 | Aug 1988 | 4 | 3.8% | +17.1% | +54575.3% |
| Jun 1989 | Jun 1989 | 1 | 13.4% | -5.9% | +54747.0% |
| Jul 1989 | Jul 1989 | 1 | 3.3% | -6.9% | +48968.0% |
| Oct 1989 | Feb 1991 | 70 | 44.3% | -44.3% | +49076.0% |
| Oct 1991 | Dec 1991 | 11 | 7.1% | +58.0% | +53024.5% |
| Jul 1994 | Sep 1994 | 9 | 9.8% | -24.1% | +39114.7% |
| Sep 1994 | Feb 1996 | 74 | 45.7% | -42.1% | +34508.9% |
| Jan 2000 | Mar 2000 | 9 | 26.1% | +60.7% | +9809.1% |
| Apr 2000 | May 2000 | 3 | 8.5% | +66.2% | +8790.4% |
| Jun 2000 | Sep 2000 | 12 | 21.0% | +60.3% | +8410.5% |
| Aug 2005 | Sep 2005 | 1 | 3.3% | +33.1% | +3931.9% |
| Sep 2005 | Oct 2005 | 6 | 3.0% | +37.2% | +3892.7% |
| Oct 2008 | Mar 2009 | 24 | 26.1% | +49.9% | +2990.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 15.4% | +78.9% | +353.2% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 1.2% | +40.6% | +190.7% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 3.3% | +45.9% | +192.1% |
| Average | 14 | — | +28.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TJX below its 200-week moving average?
No. The TJX Companies Inc. (TJX) is currently 49.0% above its 200-week moving average of $105.26. It would need to fall to $105.26 to cross below the line.
What is TJX's 200-week moving average price?
The TJX Companies Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $105.26 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when TJX drops below its 200-week moving average?
TJX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is TJX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about TJX as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow yield is 2.2%. Return on equity is 59.1%. Price-to-book is 17.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does TJX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in TJX would have grown to $28371, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 18.5% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. TJX has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does TJX pay a dividend?
Yes. The TJX Companies Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 122.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01