TJX
The TJX Companies Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Retail Investor Relations →
The TJX Companies Inc. (TJX) closed at $155.86 as of 2026-02-02, trading 56.7% above its 200-week moving average of $99.47. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 51.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 70, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1967 weeks of data, TJX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TJX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.9%.
With a market cap of $173.5 billion, TJX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.0%. Return on equity stands at 58.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 18.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TJX would have grown to $28116, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.5% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming TJX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 27.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: TJX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TJX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying TJX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +36.5% after 12 months (median +42.0%), compared to +12.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +84.4% vs +25.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TJX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TJX has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +28.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1988 | Jun 1988 | 3 | 15.8% | +65.9% | +62386.4% |
| Jul 1988 | Aug 1988 | 4 | 3.8% | +17.1% | +54084.0% |
| Jun 1989 | Jun 1989 | 1 | 13.4% | -5.9% | +54254.0% |
| Jul 1989 | Jul 1989 | 1 | 3.3% | -6.9% | +48527.1% |
| Oct 1989 | Feb 1991 | 70 | 44.3% | -44.3% | +48634.1% |
| Oct 1991 | Dec 1991 | 11 | 7.1% | +58.0% | +52547.1% |
| Jul 1994 | Sep 1994 | 9 | 9.8% | -24.1% | +38762.3% |
| Sep 1994 | Feb 1996 | 74 | 45.7% | -42.1% | +34197.8% |
| Jan 2000 | Mar 2000 | 9 | 26.1% | +60.7% | +9720.1% |
| Apr 2000 | May 2000 | 3 | 8.5% | +66.2% | +8710.5% |
| Jun 2000 | Sep 2000 | 12 | 21.0% | +60.3% | +8334.0% |
| Aug 2005 | Sep 2005 | 1 | 3.3% | +33.1% | +3895.7% |
| Sep 2005 | Oct 2005 | 6 | 3.0% | +37.2% | +3856.8% |
| Oct 2008 | Mar 2009 | 24 | 26.1% | +49.9% | +2962.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 15.4% | +78.9% | +349.2% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 1.2% | +40.6% | +188.1% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 3.3% | +45.9% | +189.5% |
| Average | 14 | — | +28.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02