THS
TreeHouse Foods, Inc. Consumer Staples - Private Label Foods Investor Relations →
TreeHouse Foods, Inc. (THS) closed at $24.43 as of 2026-02-13, trading 34.4% below its 200-week moving average of $37.24. This places THS in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -33.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 83, THS is in overbought territory.
A big spike in selling this week — 4.7x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 1028 weeks of data, THS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -4.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $1234 million, THS is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.9%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at -17.2%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.0% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 19.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in THS would have grown to $102, compared to $778 for the S&P 500. THS has returned 0.1% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 3 open-market purchases totaling $20,662,701. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while THS is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: THS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After THS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying THS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -3.3% after 12 months (median +0.0%), compared to +7.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 44% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +8.0% vs +14.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment THS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
THS has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +-4.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2006 | Aug 2006 | 10 | 8.3% | +19.9% | +0.5% |
| Sep 2006 | Oct 2006 | 7 | 8.5% | +4.9% | +0.6% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 7 | 12.7% | -9.0% | -6.1% |
| Sep 2007 | Sep 2007 | 2 | 2.9% | +14.3% | -4.0% |
| Oct 2007 | May 2008 | 30 | 23.0% | +16.0% | -6.3% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 7.5% | +14.6% | -2.1% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | 4 | 15.2% | +46.1% | +2.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 1 | 1.4% | +3.5% | -64.8% |
| Oct 2016 | Feb 2017 | 14 | 18.7% | -38.8% | -64.5% |
| May 2017 | Jun 2017 | 8 | 5.3% | -42.3% | -68.1% |
| Jul 2017 | Mar 2021 | 187 | 52.0% | -31.5% | -67.2% |
| Apr 2021 | May 2021 | 5 | 6.1% | -34.4% | -52.1% |
| May 2021 | Aug 2022 | 63 | 35.1% | -15.0% | -49.8% |
| Aug 2022 | Oct 2022 | 6 | 8.4% | -0.4% | -46.3% |
| Dec 2022 | Dec 2022 | 1 | 1.3% | -8.1% | -46.1% |
| Sep 2023 | Ongoing | 125+ | 57.9% | Ongoing | -43.9% |
| Average | 30 | — | +-4.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is THS below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-02-13, TreeHouse Foods, Inc. (THS) is trading 34.4% below its 200-week moving average of $37.24. The current price is $24.43.
What is THS's 200-week moving average price?
TreeHouse Foods, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $37.24 as of 2026-02-13. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when THS drops below its 200-week moving average?
THS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -4.0%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.
Is THS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about THS as of 2026-02-13: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 83 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 6.9%. Return on equity is -17.2%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does THS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 19.8 years, $100 invested in THS would have grown to $102, compared to $778 for the S&P 500. That's 0.1% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. THS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-02-13