TFC

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NO
48.4% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 36.9% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $37.62
14-Week RSI 88

Truist Financial Corporation (TFC) closed at $55.81 as of 2026-02-02, trading 48.4% above its 200-week moving average of $37.62. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 36.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 88, TFC is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2346 weeks of data, TFC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TFC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.9%.

With a market cap of $71.4 billion, TFC is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 8.2%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TFC would have grown to $1712, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. TFC has returned 8.9% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -35% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: TFC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After TFC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 24 historical episodes, buying TFC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.1% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +8.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +28.0% vs +21.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TFC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

TFC has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +8.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 1981Sep 198111.6%+8.1%+11044.8%
Nov 1981Mar 1982163.9%+10.5%+11044.8%
Jun 1990Jul 199016.0%-1.3%+3266.1%
Jul 1990Jul 19915126.8%+6.4%+3093.9%
Feb 2000Mar 2000616.6%+49.7%+471.5%
Apr 2000May 200065.4%+36.7%+456.4%
Jun 2000Sep 20001214.6%+41.4%+463.9%
Oct 2000Oct 200010.8%+19.8%+403.2%
Jul 2007Aug 200711.0%-16.5%+202.1%
Oct 2007Sep 20084839.0%-2.0%+207.1%
Oct 2008Mar 20107458.8%-4.2%+245.1%
May 2010Jun 201010.2%-8.5%+231.1%
Jun 2010Jan 20112920.4%-9.4%+236.5%
Feb 2011Mar 201111.8%+14.0%+260.6%
Apr 2011Apr 201111.6%+24.7%+263.7%
May 2011Jun 201142.5%+11.4%+261.8%
Jul 2011Dec 20112324.6%+27.7%+271.0%
Jan 2016Feb 201676.4%+45.0%+151.5%
Mar 2016Apr 201623.5%+37.5%+146.6%
May 2016May 201612.2%+33.8%+149.5%
Mar 2020Nov 20203639.5%+50.7%+79.6%
May 2022May 202223.3%-38.5%+46.5%
Jun 2022Jun 202222.8%-25.2%+46.2%
Aug 2022Sep 202211.3%-29.6%+43.0%
Sep 2022Jan 20231612.0%-32.9%+49.9%
Feb 2023Jul 20247240.6%-18.4%+40.6%
Mar 2025May 2025612.9%N/A+66.5%
Jun 2025Jun 202510.2%N/A+46.7%
Average15+8.9%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02