TEM
Tempus AI Inc. Healthcare - AI Diagnostics Investor Relations →
Tempus AI Inc. (TEM) closed at $77.84 as of 2026-09-18, trading 35.5% above its 200-week moving average of $57.42. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 3.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.31 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 70 weeks of data, TEM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks.
With a market cap of $14.0 billion, TEM is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -67.4%. The stock trades at 31.5x book value.
Share count has increased 8.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 1.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TEM would have grown to $141, compared to $131 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 27.5% vs 21.2% for the index — confirming TEM as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: TEM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TEM Crosses Below the Line?
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TEM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. TEM currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.15 | $-0.04 | +73.6% |
| 2026-05-05 | $-0.20 | $-0.13 | +35.4% |
| 2026-02-24 | $-0.05 | $-0.04 | +22.1% |
| 2025-11-04 | $-0.18 | $-0.11 | +37.3% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from TEM's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
TEM has crossed below its 200-week MA 2 times
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2026 | Jun 2026 | 21 | 27.0% | N/A | +41.8% |
| Jul 2026 | Aug 2026 | 5 | 25.3% | N/A | +48.4% |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEM below its 200-week moving average?
No. Tempus AI Inc. (TEM) is currently 35.5% above its 200-week moving average of $57.42. It would need to fall to $57.42 to cross below the line.
What is TEM's 200-week moving average price?
Tempus AI Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $57.42 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when TEM drops below its 200-week moving average?
TEM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times in our data. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is TEM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about TEM as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 66. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -67.4%. Price-to-book is 31.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does TEM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 1.4 years, $100 invested in TEM would have grown to $141, compared to $131 for the S&P 500. That's 27.5% annualized vs 21.2% for the index. TEM has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18