TEL
TE Connectivity plc Technology - Electronic Components Investor Relations →
TE Connectivity plc (TEL) closed at $215.91 as of 2026-02-02, trading 48.2% above its 200-week moving average of $145.68. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 53.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 925 weeks of data, TEL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TEL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.0%.
With a market cap of $63.4 billion, TEL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.1%. Return on equity stands at 16.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 4.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.4% over the past three years. TEL passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 17.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TEL would have grown to $768, compared to $684 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.1% vs 11.4% for the index — confirming TEL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 23.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: TEL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TEL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying TEL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +28.2% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +19.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 78% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +46.2% vs +37.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TEL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TEL has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +25.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 2 | 2.0% | -47.5% | +776.3% |
| Jul 2008 | Mar 2010 | 84 | 73.5% | -32.4% | +836.8% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 5.2% | +57.4% | +1080.8% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 1 | 3.9% | +21.4% | +1063.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 0.6% | +36.0% | +237.8% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 12 | 30.7% | +68.5% | +201.2% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 5 | 3.0% | +77.3% | +199.7% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 0.6% | +15.0% | +111.5% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 2 | 2.0% | +28.9% | +89.9% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 8.1% | N/A | +78.4% |
| Average | 11 | — | +25.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02