TEAM
Atlassian Corporation Technology - Software Investor Relations โ
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) closed at $94.72 as of 2026-02-02, trading 50.4% below its 200-week moving average of $191.07. This places TEAM in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -38.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 23, TEAM is in oversold territory.
Over the past 482 weeks of data, TEAM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TEAM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.6%.
With a market cap of $24.9 billion, TEAM is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.4%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at -15.3%. The stock trades at 18.5x book value.
Share count has increased 3.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 9.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TEAM would have grown to $375, compared to $364 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.2% vs 14.9% for the index โ confirming TEAM as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 23.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: TEAM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TEAM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying TEAM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.2% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.4% vs +39.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TEAM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TEAM has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +18.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2016 | Jan 2017 | 6 | 7.2% | +86.3% | +275.4% |
| May 2022 | Jun 2022 | 6 | 8.7% | -28.5% | -49.9% |
| Jul 2022 | Jul 2022 | 1 | 4.5% | -5.3% | -49.9% |
| Oct 2022 | Dec 2023 | 61 | 43.3% | -0.4% | -49.9% |
| Jan 2024 | Oct 2024 | 39 | 37.7% | +41.1% | -56.4% |
| Mar 2025 | Ongoing | 48+ | 50.4% | Ongoing | -56.6% |
| Average | 27 | โ | +18.6% | โ |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02