TEAM

Atlassian Corporation Technology - Software Investor Relations โ†’

YES
50.4% BELOW
โ†“ Approaching Was -38.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $191.07
14-Week RSI 23 ๐Ÿ“‰

Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) closed at $94.72 as of 2026-02-02, trading 50.4% below its 200-week moving average of $191.07. This places TEAM in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -38.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 23, TEAM is in oversold territory.

Over the past 482 weeks of data, TEAM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TEAM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.6%.

With a market cap of $24.9 billion, TEAM is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.4%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at -15.3%. The stock trades at 18.5x book value.

Share count has increased 3.2% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 9.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TEAM would have grown to $375, compared to $364 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.2% vs 14.9% for the index โ€” confirming TEAM as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 23.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Growth of $100: TEAM vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After TEAM Crosses Below the Line?

Across 6 historical episodes, buying TEAM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.2% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.4% vs +39.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TEAM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

TEAM has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +18.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 2016Jan 201767.2%+86.3%+275.4%
May 2022Jun 202268.7%-28.5%-49.9%
Jul 2022Jul 202214.5%-5.3%-49.9%
Oct 2022Dec 20236143.3%-0.4%-49.9%
Jan 2024Oct 20243937.7%+41.1%-56.4%
Mar 2025Ongoing48+50.4%Ongoing-56.6%
Average27โ€”+18.6%โ€”

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02