TDG
TransDigm Group Incorporated Industrials - Aerospace Components Investor Relations →
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) closed at $1154.45 as of 2026-05-01, trading 15.6% above its 200-week moving average of $998.94. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 15.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 30, TDG is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.75 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1002 weeks of data, TDG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 5 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TDG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +72.3%.
With a market cap of $65.2 billion, TDG is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.0%. The stock trades at -7.0x book value.
Share count has increased 3.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 19.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TDG would have grown to $9812, compared to $727 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 26.9% vs 10.9% for the index — confirming TDG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 3 open-market purchases totaling $3,838,007.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 29.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: TDG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TDG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying TDG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +67.8% after 12 months (median +76.0%), compared to +21.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +130.3% vs +40.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TDG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TDG has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +72.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 5.6% | +13.3% | +9513.6% |
| Sep 2008 | Jan 2009 | 17 | 19.8% | +57.8% | +10431.0% |
| Mar 2009 | Apr 2009 | 7 | 8.8% | +101.9% | +10172.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 15.0% | +98.8% | +359.2% |
| Apr 2020 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 4.7% | +95.2% | +355.5% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 0.8% | +66.7% | +162.6% |
| Average | 5 | — | +72.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TDG below its 200-week moving average?
No. TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is currently 15.6% above its 200-week moving average of $998.94. It would need to fall to $998.94 to cross below the line.
What is TDG's 200-week moving average price?
TransDigm Group Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $998.94 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when TDG drops below its 200-week moving average?
TDG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +72.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 5 weeks on average.
Is TDG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about TDG as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 30 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 2.0%. Price-to-book is -7.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does TDG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 19.2 years, $100 invested in TDG would have grown to $9812, compared to $727 for the S&P 500. That's 26.9% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. TDG has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01