TDG
TransDigm Group Incorporated Industrials - Aerospace Components Investor Relations →
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) closed at $1285.53 as of 2026-02-02, trading 34.7% above its 200-week moving average of $954.38. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 50.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 990 weeks of data, TDG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 5 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TDG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +72.3%.
With a market cap of $72.6 billion, TDG is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.8%. The stock trades at -7.8x book value.
Share count has increased 3.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 19.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TDG would have grown to $10927, compared to $697 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 27.9% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming TDG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $2,616,674.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 29.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: TDG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TDG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying TDG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +67.8% after 12 months (median +76.0%), compared to +21.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +130.3% vs +40.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TDG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TDG has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +72.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 5.6% | +13.3% | +10605.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Jan 2009 | 17 | 19.8% | +57.8% | +11626.7% |
| Mar 2009 | Apr 2009 | 7 | 8.8% | +101.9% | +11338.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 15.0% | +98.8% | +411.3% |
| Apr 2020 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 4.7% | +95.2% | +407.2% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 0.8% | +66.7% | +192.4% |
| Average | 5 | — | +72.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02