TAP

Molson Coors Beverage Company Consumer Staples - Beverages Investor Relations →

YES
1.3% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -8.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $52.43
14-Week RSI 75

Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) closed at $51.76 as of 2026-02-02, trading 1.3% below its 200-week moving average of $52.43. This places TAP in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -8.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, TAP is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2595 weeks of data, TAP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 52 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TAP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.5%.

With a market cap of $10.2 billion, TAP is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at -17.3%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.4% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TAP would have grown to $1260, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. TAP has returned 7.9% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: TAP vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After TAP Crosses Below the Line?

Across 41 historical episodes, buying TAP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.1% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.9% vs +34.9% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TAP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

TAP has crossed below its 200-week MA 52 times with an average 1-year return of +8.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 1976Jul 198021745.3%-21.5%+874.5%
Feb 1981Mar 198158.9%-28.6%+1596.7%
Apr 1981Jan 19839228.9%-12.6%+1611.9%
Feb 1983Feb 198322.8%+23.8%+1709.8%
Mar 1984Apr 198423.0%+5.0%+1496.9%
Apr 1984Nov 19842917.8%+11.2%+1538.2%
Mar 1985Mar 198512.1%+87.3%+1510.4%
Oct 1987Jul 19899421.3%-1.8%+1051.7%
Aug 1989Sep 198939.1%+17.2%+1057.4%
Oct 1989Apr 19902717.0%+14.1%+951.0%
Nov 1990Jan 19911012.1%-1.4%+1038.1%
Aug 1991Dec 1991179.0%N/A+1024.5%
Feb 1992May 1992139.5%-11.5%+1031.8%
Jun 1992Aug 1992105.0%+0.2%+1002.5%
Sep 1992Oct 199264.1%+6.7%+988.2%
Nov 1992Nov 199221.7%-10.4%+988.2%
Dec 1992Aug 19933620.5%-3.3%+1159.5%
Nov 1993Mar 19941818.2%+0.2%+1114.9%
Mar 1994May 199485.3%-14.5%+1004.3%
Jun 1994Jul 199428.3%-1.8%+1081.8%
Oct 1994Jun 19953413.3%+6.0%+1052.4%
Jun 1995Sep 1995115.4%+4.9%+1042.9%
Oct 1995Oct 199510.4%+32.5%+1042.7%
Apr 1996Apr 199611.1%+31.8%+1028.5%
Jun 2001Jun 200110.4%+24.4%+257.6%
Jul 2001Oct 20011411.9%+16.2%+264.2%
Jul 2002Jul 200216.7%-2.9%+240.4%
Feb 2003Oct 20033515.9%+23.6%+239.5%
Oct 2003Oct 200312.2%+24.9%+215.1%
Nov 2003Dec 200332.4%+33.5%+212.1%
Dec 2003Jan 200444.0%+37.4%+207.0%
May 2005Jun 200540.6%+10.7%+185.3%
Oct 2008Nov 200846.3%+35.0%+110.8%
Jan 2009May 20091421.2%+6.5%+96.0%
Jan 2010Mar 201059.2%+13.5%+83.9%
Mar 2010Mar 201010.7%+8.6%+80.2%
May 2010Jun 201055.4%+10.0%+83.0%
Jun 2010Jul 201012.7%+10.2%+80.8%
Aug 2010Aug 201010.2%-0.1%+74.1%
Feb 2011Mar 201132.5%+0.8%+69.3%
May 2011Jun 201141.0%-10.6%+69.5%
Aug 2011Dec 20112012.7%+2.1%+74.9%
Jan 2012Jan 201210.3%+8.5%+70.7%
Apr 2012Jul 2012168.6%+25.3%+76.1%
Nov 2012Dec 201244.1%+34.3%+73.8%
Oct 2017Dec 201793.0%-27.3%-18.0%
Jan 2018May 202117048.4%-16.6%-21.1%
Jun 2021Feb 20223616.2%-4.3%+9.7%
Sep 2022Oct 202232.5%+36.7%+20.2%
Jun 2024Jul 202442.4%+5.5%+10.1%
Jan 2025Jan 202510.1%-4.8%+2.4%
Jun 2025Ongoing36+17.2%Ongoing+2.5%
Average20+8.5%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02