TALO
Talos Energy Inc. Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) closed at $15.48 as of 2026-03-20, trading 16.2% above its 200-week moving average of $13.32. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 3.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 74, TALO is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.00 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 362 weeks of data, TALO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 35 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -28.2%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $2.6 billion, TALO is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 12.7%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -20.1%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Share count has increased 104.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TALO would have grown to $53, compared to $245 for the S&P 500. TALO has returned -8.6% annualized vs 13.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: TALO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TALO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying TALO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -27.4% after 12 months (median -19.0%), compared to +20.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -29.9% vs +50.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TALO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TALO has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +-28.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2019 | Dec 2019 | 29 | 28.7% | -50.3% | -38.0% |
| Jan 2020 | Apr 2022 | 114 | 75.5% | -61.4% | -29.4% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 5 | 15.8% | -14.3% | -0.6% |
| Sep 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 0.2% | +2.2% | -1.3% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 19 | 22.0% | -9.1% | +10.6% |
| Dec 2023 | Dec 2023 | 1 | 1.6% | -26.4% | +15.3% |
| Jan 2024 | Mar 2024 | 11 | 11.0% | -21.2% | +14.6% |
| Apr 2024 | Mar 2026 | 99 | 50.8% | -45.5% | +14.3% |
| Average | 35 | — | +-28.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TALO below its 200-week moving average?
No. Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) is currently 16.2% above its 200-week moving average of $13.32. It would need to fall to $13.32 to cross below the line.
What is TALO's 200-week moving average price?
Talos Energy Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $13.32 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when TALO drops below its 200-week moving average?
TALO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -28.2%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 35 weeks on average.
Is TALO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about TALO as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 74 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 12.7%. Return on equity is -20.1%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does TALO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 7 years, $100 invested in TALO would have grown to $53, compared to $245 for the S&P 500. That's -8.6% annualized vs 13.6% for the index. TALO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20