SYY
Sysco Corporation Consumer Staples - Food Distribution Investor Relations →
Sysco Corporation (SYY) closed at $78.70 as of 2026-06-19, trading 8.9% above its 200-week moving average of $72.24. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 9.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.78 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2723 weeks of data, SYY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SYY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.0%.
With a market cap of $37.6 billion, SYY is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.0%. Return on equity stands at 81.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 16.5x book value.
SYY is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 277.00%. The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SYY would have grown to $2665, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. SYY has returned 10.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $1,000,035.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 11.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SYY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SYY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying SYY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.0% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +16.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 76% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +21.2% vs +26.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SYY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SYY would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SYY's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $68.83 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $73.05 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $77.82 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $83.25 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $89.51 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SYY's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SYY has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +12.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1974 | Mar 1975 | 47 | 55.0% | -6.4% | +119542.4% |
| Jun 1975 | Jun 1975 | 1 | 7.1% | -8.7% | +149019.5% |
| Aug 1975 | Oct 1975 | 8 | 7.9% | -22.8% | +138011.3% |
| Dec 1975 | Aug 1977 | 87 | 29.8% | -8.7% | +149019.5% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 1 | 1.7% | +52.1% | +11756.4% |
| Jun 1994 | Jun 1994 | 1 | 0.5% | +26.6% | +2832.6% |
| Jul 1994 | Jul 1994 | 2 | 8.1% | +33.8% | +2881.5% |
| Oct 1994 | Oct 1994 | 1 | 0.1% | +31.1% | +2727.5% |
| Sep 2005 | Oct 2005 | 2 | 0.6% | +8.9% | +354.9% |
| Oct 2005 | Nov 2005 | 2 | 4.6% | +19.0% | +372.7% |
| Dec 2005 | Mar 2006 | 12 | 5.8% | +21.0% | +357.4% |
| Apr 2006 | Sep 2006 | 22 | 14.6% | +7.2% | +345.7% |
| Feb 2007 | Mar 2007 | 3 | 1.5% | -10.2% | +332.1% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 6 | 7.0% | -14.9% | +321.1% |
| Nov 2007 | Aug 2008 | 38 | 13.7% | -28.2% | +326.6% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2009 | 61 | 31.6% | -14.7% | +347.3% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2009 | 1 | 0.8% | +10.7% | +362.2% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 1 | 0.6% | +13.5% | +361.2% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 3 | 1.2% | +23.4% | +360.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Sep 2020 | 26 | 41.4% | +83.0% | +98.1% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 8.3% | +42.3% | +64.2% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 1.0% | +6.0% | +21.0% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 12 | 11.5% | +13.7% | +21.8% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 8 | 4.8% | +5.4% | +14.5% |
| Jan 2025 | Feb 2025 | 6 | 2.9% | +10.9% | +11.6% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 10 | 3.1% | +17.6% | +14.6% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 1 | 0.4% | N/A | +10.0% |
| Mar 2026 | Apr 2026 | 1 | 2.3% | N/A | +11.4% |
| Average | 13 | — | +12.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SYY below its 200-week moving average?
No. Sysco Corporation (SYY) is currently 8.9% above its 200-week moving average of $72.24. It would need to fall to $72.24 to cross below the line.
What is SYY's 200-week moving average price?
Sysco Corporation's 200-week moving average is $72.24 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SYY drops below its 200-week moving average?
SYY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is SYY a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SYY as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 41. Free cash flow yield is 5.0%. Return on equity is 81.9%. Price-to-book is 16.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SYY compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in SYY would have grown to $2665, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 10.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. SYY has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SYY pay a dividend?
Yes. Sysco Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 277.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19