SWK
Stanley Black & Decker Inc. Industrials - Tools Investor Relations →
Stanley Black & Decker Inc. (SWK) closed at $67.28 as of 2026-03-20, trading 13.9% below its 200-week moving average of $78.18. This places SWK in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -11.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.97 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2352 weeks of data, SWK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SWK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.5%.
With a market cap of $10.4 billion, SWK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 4.5%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
SWK is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 493.00%.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SWK would have grown to $804, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. SWK has returned 6.5% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SWK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SWK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying SWK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.1% after 12 months (median +7.0%), compared to +7.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.4% vs +29.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SWK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SWK has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +14.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1981 | Aug 1982 | 58 | 23.5% | -10.4% | +3789.3% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 1 | 2.3% | +48.7% | +3240.8% |
| Aug 1990 | Aug 1990 | 1 | 0.2% | +44.5% | +1137.2% |
| Oct 1990 | Dec 1990 | 8 | 6.4% | +44.1% | +1209.2% |
| Dec 1990 | Jan 1991 | 2 | 6.6% | +47.8% | +1122.4% |
| Nov 1994 | Jan 1995 | 8 | 7.0% | +35.3% | +731.0% |
| Jun 1995 | Jul 1995 | 3 | 1.6% | +55.6% | +708.8% |
| Sep 1998 | Jan 2001 | 122 | 37.3% | -12.0% | +389.2% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 2 | 6.2% | +9.3% | +322.5% |
| Jan 2003 | Oct 2003 | 39 | 33.3% | +42.2% | +335.4% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 4 | 5.6% | -17.6% | +144.8% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.9% | -48.4% | +130.9% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.3% | -31.9% | +128.9% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 11 | 10.9% | -21.6% | +127.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Oct 2009 | 57 | 48.7% | -11.7% | +125.2% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | 9.0% | +29.6% | -29.1% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | 6.7% | +41.8% | -29.6% |
| Jan 2019 | Jan 2019 | 1 | 1.8% | +40.8% | -30.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 16 | 40.8% | +47.2% | -36.3% |
| Mar 2022 | Jan 2026 | 200 | 49.8% | -43.2% | -46.1% |
| Jan 2026 | Feb 2026 | 1 | 1.8% | N/A | -13.5% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 13.9% | Ongoing | -10.6% |
| Average | 25 | — | +14.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SWK below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Stanley Black & Decker Inc. (SWK) is trading 13.9% below its 200-week moving average of $78.18. The current price is $67.28.
What is SWK's 200-week moving average price?
Stanley Black & Decker Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $78.18 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SWK drops below its 200-week moving average?
SWK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is SWK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SWK as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 43. Free cash flow yield is 8.2%. Return on equity is 4.5%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SWK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in SWK would have grown to $804, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 6.5% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. SWK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SWK pay a dividend?
Yes. Stanley Black & Decker Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 493.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20