SWK
Stanley Black & Decker Inc. Industrials - Tools Investor Relations →
Stanley Black & Decker Inc. (SWK) closed at $89.39 as of 2026-02-02, trading 11.8% above its 200-week moving average of $79.92. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -1.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, SWK is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, SWK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SWK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.5%.
With a market cap of $13.8 billion, SWK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 4.5%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.
SWK is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 371.00%. The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SWK would have grown to $1057, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. SWK has returned 7.4% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: SWK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SWK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying SWK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.1% after 12 months (median +7.0%), compared to +7.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.4% vs +29.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SWK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SWK has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +14.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1981 | Aug 1982 | 58 | 23.5% | -10.4% | +5010.7% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 1 | 2.3% | +48.7% | +4289.9% |
| Aug 1990 | Aug 1990 | 1 | 0.2% | +44.5% | +1525.7% |
| Oct 1990 | Dec 1990 | 8 | 6.4% | +44.1% | +1620.4% |
| Dec 1990 | Jan 1991 | 2 | 6.6% | +47.8% | +1506.3% |
| Nov 1994 | Jan 1995 | 8 | 7.0% | +35.3% | +992.0% |
| Jun 1995 | Jul 1995 | 3 | 1.6% | +55.6% | +962.8% |
| Sep 1998 | Jan 2001 | 122 | 37.3% | -12.0% | +542.9% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 2 | 6.2% | +9.3% | +455.2% |
| Jan 2003 | Oct 2003 | 39 | 33.3% | +42.2% | +472.2% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 4 | 5.6% | -17.6% | +221.7% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.9% | -48.4% | +203.4% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.3% | -31.9% | +200.8% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 11 | 10.9% | -21.6% | +198.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Oct 2009 | 57 | 48.7% | -11.7% | +195.9% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | 9.0% | +29.6% | -6.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | 6.7% | +41.8% | -7.5% |
| Jan 2019 | Jan 2019 | 1 | 1.8% | +40.8% | -9.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 16 | 40.8% | +47.2% | -16.3% |
| Mar 2022 | Jan 2026 | 200 | 49.8% | -43.2% | -29.1% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 1.8% | Ongoing | +13.6% |
| Average | 26 | — | +14.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02