SUZ
Suzano Basic Materials Investor Relations →
Suzano (SUZ) closed at $8.23 as of 2026-06-12, trading 13.0% below its 200-week moving average of $9.46. This places SUZ in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -13.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 24, SUZ is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 870 weeks of data, SUZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SUZ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.0%.
With a market cap of $10.2 billion, SUZ is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 26.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.6% over the past three years.
Over the past 16.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SUZ would have grown to $133, compared to $962 for the S&P 500. SUZ has returned 1.7% annualized vs 14.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SUZ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SUZ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying SUZ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.7% after 12 months (median +4.0%), compared to +18.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 61% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +52.4% vs +44.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SUZ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SUZ's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SUZ has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +14.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2011 | Feb 2015 | 191 | 70.9% | -72.2% | +22.5% |
| Jan 2016 | May 2016 | 16 | 20.2% | +26.2% | +168.6% |
| Jun 2016 | Dec 2016 | 26 | 24.9% | +23.4% | +159.6% |
| Mar 2017 | Mar 2017 | 1 | 3.0% | +81.9% | +140.9% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 0.2% | +36.3% | +36.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Jul 2020 | 19 | 30.3% | +97.3% | +36.5% |
| Sep 2021 | Nov 2021 | 9 | 11.4% | -13.7% | -5.6% |
| Jun 2022 | Oct 2022 | 19 | 16.6% | +8.5% | -5.7% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 3 | 5.7% | +17.7% | -6.4% |
| Jan 2023 | May 2023 | 19 | 15.5% | +18.1% | -4.5% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 4 | 1.5% | +14.0% | -5.6% |
| May 2024 | Jun 2024 | 5 | 8.5% | +1.6% | -10.6% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 4 | 7.1% | -3.8% | -11.8% |
| Aug 2024 | Sep 2024 | 4 | 5.0% | +3.2% | -12.7% |
| Oct 2024 | Oct 2024 | 2 | 2.8% | -5.9% | -12.1% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2024 | 1 | 1.6% | +0.2% | -12.9% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 12 | 8.2% | +5.7% | -13.1% |
| Jun 2025 | Aug 2025 | 7 | 4.9% | N/A | -12.5% |
| Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | 16 | 7.3% | N/A | -13.0% |
| Jan 2026 | Feb 2026 | 1 | 0.7% | N/A | -12.2% |
| Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | 1 | 0.5% | N/A | -12.5% |
| Apr 2026 | Ongoing | 10+ | 13.6% | Ongoing | -12.4% |
| Average | 17 | — | +14.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SUZ below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-12, Suzano (SUZ) is trading 13.0% below its 200-week moving average of $9.46. The current price is $8.23.
What is SUZ's 200-week moving average price?
Suzano's 200-week moving average is $9.46 as of 2026-06-12. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SUZ drops below its 200-week moving average?
SUZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is SUZ a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SUZ as of 2026-06-12: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 24 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 26.3%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SUZ compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 16.8 years, $100 invested in SUZ would have grown to $133, compared to $962 for the S&P 500. That's 1.7% annualized vs 14.5% for the index. SUZ has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SUZ pay a dividend?
Yes. Suzano currently pays a dividend yield of 1.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-12