SUI
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Sun Communities, Inc. (SUI) closed at $114.48 as of 2026-09-11, trading 3.4% below its 200-week moving average of $118.54. This places SUI in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 0.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.03 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1661 weeks of data, SUI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SUI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.3%.
With a market cap of $14.5 billion, SUI is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 12.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 1.7%. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.
Over the past 31.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SUI would have grown to $3599, compared to $2925 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.9% vs 11.2% for the index — confirming SUI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 5.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SUI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SUI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying SUI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.5% after 12 months (median +2.0%), compared to +11.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 56% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +11.4% vs +14.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SUI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SUI would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SUI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $114.45 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $117.29 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $120.28 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $123.43 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $126.74 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | $0.48 | $0.69 | +44.1% |
| 2026-04-27 | $0.23 | $0.17 | -25.9% |
| 2026-02-24 | $0.42 | $1.12 | +168.3% |
| 2025-10-29 | $1.15 | $1.74 | +51.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SUI's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SUI has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +8.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1994 | Dec 1994 | 3 | 4.0% | +29.5% | +3456.3% |
| Jan 1995 | Jan 1995 | 1 | 0.1% | +29.5% | +3346.0% |
| Apr 1995 | Apr 1995 | 1 | 0.2% | +32.6% | +3318.9% |
| Feb 2000 | Apr 2000 | 5 | 5.9% | +16.3% | +1731.8% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 0.9% | +36.1% | +1656.8% |
| Aug 2005 | Aug 2005 | 4 | 1.2% | +4.9% | +1038.9% |
| Sep 2005 | Jan 2006 | 19 | 8.6% | +6.5% | +1048.2% |
| May 2006 | May 2006 | 2 | 1.1% | +5.5% | +1031.9% |
| Jun 2006 | Jun 2006 | 3 | 4.0% | +2.8% | +1029.4% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 1 | 1.1% | +2.4% | +1029.5% |
| Aug 2006 | Aug 2006 | 3 | 1.7% | -5.2% | +1034.6% |
| Sep 2006 | Sep 2006 | 1 | 0.7% | +2.4% | +1016.9% |
| Feb 2007 | Jul 2007 | 18 | 3.6% | -25.2% | +1029.6% |
| Jul 2007 | Sep 2007 | 10 | 10.1% | -32.8% | +1003.4% |
| Oct 2007 | Sep 2009 | 98 | 63.5% | -40.2% | +997.9% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 1.5% | +106.3% | +1241.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 19 | 19.8% | -14.8% | -9.0% |
| Feb 2023 | Sep 2025 | 132 | 29.0% | -7.7% | -10.0% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 3 | 2.4% | N/A | -4.7% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 4 | 1.7% | N/A | -3.8% |
| Jun 2026 | Jun 2026 | 1 | 1.0% | N/A | -2.5% |
| Sep 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 3.4% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 15 | — | +8.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SUI below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-11, Sun Communities, Inc. (SUI) is trading 3.4% below its 200-week moving average of $118.54. The current price is $114.48.
What is SUI's 200-week moving average price?
Sun Communities, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $118.54 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SUI drops below its 200-week moving average?
SUI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +8.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is SUI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SUI as of 2026-09-11: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 41. Free cash flow yield is 12.9%. Return on equity is 1.7%. Price-to-book is 2.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SUI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31.9 years, $100 invested in SUI would have grown to $3599, compared to $2925 for the S&P 500. That's 11.9% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. SUI has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SUI pay a dividend?
Yes. Sun Communities, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 390.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11