STZ
Constellation Brands Inc. Consumer Staples - Beverages Investor Relations →
Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) closed at $152.82 as of 2026-05-01, trading 25.4% below its 200-week moving average of $204.92. This places STZ in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -24.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.05 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1732 weeks of data, STZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought STZ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.9%.
With a market cap of $26.3 billion, STZ is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.8%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 22.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in STZ would have grown to $9044, compared to $2941 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.5% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming STZ as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: STZ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After STZ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying STZ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.2% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +6.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.9% vs +14.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment STZ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
STZ has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +26.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1993 | Apr 1993 | 2 | 5.3% | +86.0% | +10054.2% |
| May 1996 | May 1996 | 2 | 2.4% | -3.0% | +4933.0% |
| Jul 1996 | Jun 1997 | 49 | 43.5% | +31.6% | +4977.1% |
| Sep 1998 | Sep 1998 | 1 | 0.1% | +48.2% | +3646.2% |
| Mar 2000 | Mar 2000 | 1 | 1.7% | +62.4% | +3270.0% |
| Aug 2000 | Aug 2000 | 1 | 1.9% | +92.7% | +3080.2% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 2 | 2.4% | +85.1% | +2950.3% |
| Feb 2007 | Apr 2007 | 7 | 13.7% | -1.4% | +828.0% |
| Apr 2007 | May 2007 | 1 | 0.2% | -17.6% | +704.6% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 3 | 5.0% | -5.1% | +687.4% |
| Nov 2007 | Dec 2007 | 4 | 3.0% | -45.0% | +686.7% |
| Dec 2007 | Oct 2010 | 144 | 52.2% | -27.8% | +694.0% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | 0.4% | +88.8% | +926.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 6 | 6.3% | +18.3% | +7.1% |
| Feb 2019 | Mar 2019 | 5 | 3.1% | +24.5% | +2.3% |
| Nov 2019 | Nov 2019 | 2 | 1.4% | +14.4% | -4.8% |
| Dec 2019 | Dec 2019 | 1 | 0.6% | +14.7% | -6.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 26 | 35.3% | +26.3% | -1.2% |
| Sep 2020 | Nov 2020 | 7 | 11.5% | +18.6% | -7.2% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 72+ | 41.1% | Ongoing | -30.3% |
| Average | 17 | — | +26.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STZ below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) is trading 25.4% below its 200-week moving average of $204.92. The current price is $152.82.
What is STZ's 200-week moving average price?
Constellation Brands Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $204.92 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when STZ drops below its 200-week moving average?
STZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +26.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is STZ a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about STZ as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow yield is 7.8%. Return on equity is 22.6%. Price-to-book is 3.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does STZ compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in STZ would have grown to $9044, compared to $2941 for the S&P 500. That's 14.5% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. STZ has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does STZ pay a dividend?
Yes. Constellation Brands Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 270.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01