STWD
Starwood Property Trust, Inc. Financial Services - Commercial Mortgage Investor Relations →
Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) closed at $18.30 as of 2026-05-01, trading 13.3% above its 200-week moving average of $16.15. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 12.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.82 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 824 weeks of data, STWD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought STWD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.8%.
With a market cap of $7.0 billion, STWD is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 6.0%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
Share count has increased 19.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 15.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in STWD would have grown to $527, compared to $863 for the S&P 500. STWD has returned 11.1% annualized vs 14.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 55.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: STWD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After STWD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying STWD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +46.9% after 12 months (median +27.0%), compared to +27.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +62.0% vs +53.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment STWD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
STWD has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +31.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2010 | Aug 2010 | 3 | 4.3% | +23.5% | +425.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 11 | 7.8% | +36.6% | +381.5% |
| Nov 2011 | Dec 2011 | 2 | 3.7% | +40.5% | +384.2% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 6.7% | +36.7% | +166.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 36 | 51.5% | +53.9% | +89.0% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 2.9% | +17.7% | +46.1% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 1 | 1.7% | +27.2% | +41.8% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 12 | 9.4% | +23.5% | +38.9% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 0.7% | +26.8% | +35.8% |
| Average | 8 | — | +31.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STWD below its 200-week moving average?
No. Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) is currently 13.3% above its 200-week moving average of $16.15. It would need to fall to $16.15 to cross below the line.
What is STWD's 200-week moving average price?
Starwood Property Trust, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $16.15 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when STWD drops below its 200-week moving average?
STWD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +31.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.
Is STWD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about STWD as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 59. Return on equity is 6.0%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does STWD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 15.8 years, $100 invested in STWD would have grown to $527, compared to $863 for the S&P 500. That's 11.1% annualized vs 14.6% for the index. STWD has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does STWD pay a dividend?
Yes. Starwood Property Trust, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 1049.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01