STT
State Street Corporation Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
State Street Corporation (STT) closed at $182.87 as of 2026-09-18, trading 92.0% above its 200-week moving average of $95.24. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 104.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.86 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2378 weeks of data, STT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought STT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.7%.
With a market cap of $50.2 billion, STT is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 12.4%. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 20.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in STT would have grown to $2962, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. STT has returned 10.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -1.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: STT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After STT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying STT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.0% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +14.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.8% vs +31.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment STT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices STT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where STT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-14.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $97.91 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $116.24 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $143.02 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $185.84 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $265.23 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | $3.34 | $3.65 | +9.2% |
| 2026-04-17 | $2.64 | $2.84 | +7.5% |
| 2026-01-16 | $2.84 | $2.97 | +4.8% |
| 2025-10-17 | $2.65 | $2.78 | +5.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from STT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
STT has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +23.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 3 | 12.0% | +32.5% | +14812.2% |
| May 1988 | May 1988 | 1 | 3.5% | +57.3% | +13924.6% |
| Sep 1990 | Nov 1990 | 9 | 14.2% | +94.9% | +9948.4% |
| Oct 1994 | May 1995 | 32 | 14.7% | +37.7% | +3922.2% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 3.7% | -2.2% | +642.3% |
| Jun 2002 | Sep 2003 | 69 | 30.2% | -9.0% | +562.9% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 1 | 1.6% | +0.2% | +520.2% |
| Jul 2004 | Nov 2004 | 16 | 9.7% | +18.4% | +561.1% |
| Nov 2004 | Dec 2004 | 4 | 2.1% | +32.7% | +544.7% |
| Jan 2005 | Apr 2005 | 13 | 9.2% | +30.5% | +536.2% |
| Jul 2008 | Jul 2008 | 1 | 0.2% | -25.9% | +358.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2012 | 182 | 69.8% | -9.0% | +352.0% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 3 | 4.2% | +61.9% | +541.1% |
| Jul 2012 | Jul 2012 | 2 | 1.4% | +76.2% | +553.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Jul 2016 | 29 | 16.3% | +43.8% | +320.1% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2019 | 57 | 32.5% | -10.3% | +220.0% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 40 | 37.6% | +10.6% | +229.6% |
| Dec 2020 | Dec 2020 | 2 | 2.8% | +33.4% | +209.2% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 3.1% | +37.2% | +209.9% |
| Feb 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 0.5% | +33.1% | +201.6% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 4 | 5.1% | +11.8% | +213.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 7 | 12.0% | +17.4% | +222.3% |
| Aug 2022 | Sep 2022 | 2 | 2.4% | +1.2% | +201.4% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 11.5% | +10.4% | +227.4% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 4 | 6.0% | +12.7% | +196.1% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 0.6% | +5.5% | +185.4% |
| Jul 2023 | Jul 2023 | 3 | 4.4% | +19.8% | +195.3% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 15 | 11.4% | +24.0% | +195.9% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 2 | 2.1% | +40.3% | +175.7% |
| Average | 18 | — | +23.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STT below its 200-week moving average?
No. State Street Corporation (STT) is currently 92.0% above its 200-week moving average of $95.24. It would need to fall to $95.24 to cross below the line.
What is STT's 200-week moving average price?
State Street Corporation's 200-week moving average is $95.24 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when STT drops below its 200-week moving average?
STT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is STT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about STT as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 66. Return on equity is 12.4%. Price-to-book is 2.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does STT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in STT would have grown to $2962, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 10.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. STT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does STT pay a dividend?
Yes. State Street Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 201.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18