STT
State Street Corporation Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
State Street Corporation (STT) closed at $168.31 as of 2026-06-19, trading 92.1% above its 200-week moving average of $87.62. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 92.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 95, STT is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.14 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, STT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought STT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.7%.
With a market cap of $46.6 billion, STT is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 11.3%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 20.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in STT would have grown to $2713, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. STT has returned 10.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -1.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: STT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After STT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying STT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.1% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +14.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.7% vs +31.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment STT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. STT currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from STT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
STT has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +23.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 3 | 12.0% | +32.5% | +13556.9% |
| May 1988 | May 1988 | 1 | 3.5% | +57.3% | +12744.0% |
| Sep 1990 | Nov 1990 | 9 | 14.1% | +94.9% | +9102.6% |
| Oct 1994 | May 1995 | 32 | 14.7% | +37.7% | +3583.6% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 3.7% | -2.2% | +579.8% |
| Jun 2002 | Sep 2003 | 69 | 30.5% | -9.0% | +507.1% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 1 | 1.6% | +0.2% | +468.0% |
| Jul 2004 | Nov 2004 | 16 | 9.7% | +18.4% | +505.5% |
| Nov 2004 | Dec 2004 | 4 | 2.1% | +32.7% | +490.5% |
| Jan 2005 | Apr 2005 | 13 | 9.2% | +30.5% | +482.7% |
| Jul 2008 | Jul 2008 | 1 | 0.2% | -25.9% | +320.1% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2012 | 182 | 69.8% | -9.0% | +313.9% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 3 | 4.2% | +61.9% | +487.1% |
| Jul 2012 | Jul 2012 | 2 | 1.4% | +76.2% | +498.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Jul 2016 | 29 | 16.2% | +43.8% | +284.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2019 | 57 | 32.5% | -10.3% | +193.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 40 | 37.6% | +10.6% | +201.9% |
| Dec 2020 | Dec 2020 | 2 | 2.8% | +33.4% | +183.2% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 3.1% | +37.2% | +183.8% |
| Feb 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 0.5% | +33.1% | +176.2% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 4 | 5.0% | +11.8% | +187.5% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 7 | 12.0% | +17.4% | +195.1% |
| Aug 2022 | Sep 2022 | 2 | 2.3% | +1.2% | +176.0% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 12.3% | +10.4% | +199.9% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 4 | 6.0% | +12.7% | +171.2% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 0.5% | +5.5% | +161.4% |
| Jul 2023 | Jul 2023 | 3 | 4.3% | +19.8% | +170.4% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 15 | 11.3% | +24.0% | +171.0% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 2 | 2.1% | +40.3% | +152.5% |
| Average | 18 | — | +23.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STT below its 200-week moving average?
No. State Street Corporation (STT) is currently 92.1% above its 200-week moving average of $87.62. It would need to fall to $87.62 to cross below the line.
What is STT's 200-week moving average price?
State Street Corporation's 200-week moving average is $87.62 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when STT drops below its 200-week moving average?
STT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is STT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about STT as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 95 (overbought). Return on equity is 11.3%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does STT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in STT would have grown to $2713, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 10.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. STT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does STT pay a dividend?
Yes. State Street Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 196.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19