STRL
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. Industrials - Infrastructure Construction Investor Relations →
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) closed at $401.61 as of 2026-03-20, trading 196.0% above its 200-week moving average of $135.67. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 197.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 71, STRL is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.75 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1762 weeks of data, STRL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 36 weeks. Historically, investors who bought STRL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +48.5%.
With a market cap of $12.3 billion, STRL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.3%. Return on equity stands at 32.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 11.1x book value.
STRL passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in STRL would have grown to $16064, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.5% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming STRL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 31.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: STRL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After STRL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying STRL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +35.6% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +7.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 57% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.1% vs +9.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment STRL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
STRL has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +48.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1992 | Jan 1993 | 30 | 32.6% | +13.3% | +21319.2% |
| Feb 1993 | Apr 1993 | 7 | 31.2% | +31.2% | +19980.5% |
| Jun 1993 | Jul 1993 | 4 | 3.0% | +58.8% | +18799.3% |
| Jul 1993 | Oct 1993 | 11 | 19.8% | +117.6% | +18799.3% |
| Nov 1993 | Jan 1994 | 10 | 19.9% | +88.2% | +18799.3% |
| May 1995 | Dec 1998 | 189 | 72.8% | -52.5% | +15964.4% |
| Apr 1999 | Aug 1999 | 17 | 18.7% | -8.3% | +35598.7% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 5 | 1.4% | +9.1% | +38844.0% |
| Nov 1999 | Nov 1999 | 1 | 0.3% | +15.2% | +38844.0% |
| Apr 2000 | Apr 2000 | 1 | 0.1% | -27.3% | +38844.0% |
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 1 | 0.0% | -27.3% | +38844.0% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 1 | 2.9% | -25.0% | +40061.0% |
| Dec 2000 | Dec 2000 | 3 | 11.8% | +79.9% | +44215.6% |
| Jan 2001 | Jul 2001 | 27 | 26.5% | +103.0% | +44215.6% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 2 | 4.1% | +460.0% | +32028.8% |
| Aug 2008 | Mar 2010 | 81 | 50.9% | -10.2% | +2076.7% |
| Mar 2010 | Nov 2013 | 193 | 41.7% | -5.6% | +2462.9% |
| Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | 4.3% | -48.2% | +3466.7% |
| Dec 2013 | Sep 2016 | 143 | 73.6% | -44.2% | +3398.3% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 6.1% | +153.5% | +5737.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Aug 2020 | 21 | 35.9% | +137.3% | +4014.9% |
| Average | 36 | — | +48.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STRL below its 200-week moving average?
No. Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) is currently 196.0% above its 200-week moving average of $135.67. It would need to fall to $135.67 to cross below the line.
What is STRL's 200-week moving average price?
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $135.67 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when STRL drops below its 200-week moving average?
STRL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +48.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 36 weeks on average.
Is STRL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about STRL as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 71 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 2.3%. Return on equity is 32.0%. Price-to-book is 11.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does STRL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in STRL would have grown to $16064, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 16.5% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. STRL has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20