STRA
Strategic Education, Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Education Services Investor Relations →
Strategic Education, Inc. (STRA) closed at $75.33 as of 2026-06-19, trading 8.0% below its 200-week moving average of $81.89. This places STRA in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -5.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.96 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1512 weeks of data, STRA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 42 weeks. Historically, investors who bought STRA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.5%.
With a market cap of $1712 million, STRA is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 7.9%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.9% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 29.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in STRA would have grown to $456, compared to $1398 for the S&P 500. STRA has returned 5.4% annualized vs 9.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 22.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: STRA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After STRA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying STRA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.8% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +11.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 38% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +36.7% vs +17.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment STRA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices STRA would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where STRA's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-04-23.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $74.24 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $78.32 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $82.88 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $88.01 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $93.81 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from STRA's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
STRA has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +0.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1999 | Jan 2000 | 27 | 45.6% | -17.7% | +352.8% |
| Mar 2000 | Jan 2001 | 46 | 26.2% | +37.3% | +365.8% |
| Jul 2005 | Jul 2005 | 1 | 1.5% | +22.4% | +39.4% |
| Aug 2010 | Oct 2014 | 219 | 67.1% | -44.2% | -35.9% |
| Jan 2015 | Dec 2015 | 49 | 29.6% | -21.2% | +38.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Oct 2016 | 42 | 22.5% | +52.7% | +76.0% |
| Aug 2020 | Oct 2023 | 169 | 53.5% | -32.7% | -22.6% |
| Apr 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 0.4% | +7.5% | +0.5% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 4 | 5.2% | N/A | -1.0% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 1.4% | N/A | -1.9% |
| Oct 2025 | Jan 2026 | 10 | 5.2% | N/A | +1.4% |
| Feb 2026 | Feb 2026 | 2 | 7.7% | N/A | +1.8% |
| Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | 2 | 1.3% | N/A | -5.3% |
| Apr 2026 | Ongoing | 11+ | 10.2% | Ongoing | -6.5% |
| Average | 42 | — | +0.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STRA below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Strategic Education, Inc. (STRA) is trading 8.0% below its 200-week moving average of $81.89. The current price is $75.33.
What is STRA's 200-week moving average price?
Strategic Education, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $81.89 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when STRA drops below its 200-week moving average?
STRA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +0.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 42 weeks on average.
Is STRA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about STRA as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 44. Free cash flow yield is 9.1%. Return on equity is 7.9%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does STRA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 29.1 years, $100 invested in STRA would have grown to $456, compared to $1398 for the S&P 500. That's 5.4% annualized vs 9.5% for the index. STRA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does STRA pay a dividend?
Yes. Strategic Education, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 319.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19