STNE
StoneCo Technology Investor Relations →
StoneCo (STNE) closed at $10.10 as of 2026-09-11, trading 7.1% below its 200-week moving average of $10.87. This places STNE in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -7.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.14 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 363 weeks of data, STNE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 37 weeks. Historically, investors who bought STNE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +45.0%.
With a market cap of $2.3 billion, STNE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 303.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 34.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 20.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 7.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in STNE would have grown to $36, compared to $284 for the S&P 500. STNE has returned -13.4% annualized vs 15.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: STNE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After STNE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying STNE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +65.7% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +19.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -51.0% vs +41.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment STNE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from STNE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
STNE has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +45.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 10 | 43.5% | +203.7% | -44.5% |
| Sep 2021 | Jun 2025 | 197 | 79.9% | -78.2% | -71.8% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 2.0% | +9.6% | -2.7% |
| May 2026 | May 2026 | 1 | 10.0% | N/A | +5.1% |
| Jun 2026 | Jun 2026 | 3 | 3.0% | N/A | -2.9% |
| Jul 2026 | Ongoing | 8+ | 13.8% | Ongoing | -6.1% |
| Average | 37 | — | +45.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STNE below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-11, StoneCo (STNE) is trading 7.1% below its 200-week moving average of $10.87. The current price is $10.10.
What is STNE's 200-week moving average price?
StoneCo's 200-week moving average is $10.87 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when STNE drops below its 200-week moving average?
STNE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +45.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 37 weeks on average.
Is STNE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about STNE as of 2026-09-11: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow yield is 303.8%. Return on equity is 34.0%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does STNE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 7.1 years, $100 invested in STNE would have grown to $36, compared to $284 for the S&P 500. That's -13.4% annualized vs 15.9% for the index. STNE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11