STLA
Stellantis N.V. Consumer Discretionary - Automotive Investor Relations →
Stellantis N.V. (STLA) closed at $5.76 as of 2026-07-31, trading 56.2% below its 200-week moving average of $13.15. This places STLA in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -56.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 29, STLA is in oversold territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.1x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 794 weeks of data, STLA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. Historically, investors who bought STLA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.4%.
With a market cap of $21.7 billion, STLA is a large-cap stock. The stock trades at 0.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 15.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in STLA would have grown to $151, compared to $725 for the S&P 500. STLA has returned 2.8% annualized vs 13.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: STLA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After STLA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying STLA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.5% after 12 months (median +51.0%), compared to +20.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +92.8% vs +47.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment STLA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from STLA's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
STLA has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +38.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2011 | May 2013 | 93 | 41.2% | -25.4% | +143.0% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 2 | 4.5% | +76.8% | +77.7% |
| Jun 2016 | Nov 2016 | 20 | 10.4% | +71.8% | +71.2% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 36 | 49.4% | +50.6% | -25.4% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 4.2% | +54.3% | -41.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 7.1% | +73.6% | -39.9% |
| Aug 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 | 1.6% | -33.0% | -59.1% |
| Sep 2024 | Ongoing | 100+ | 58.4% | Ongoing | -59.6% |
| Average | 32 | — | +38.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STLA below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Stellantis N.V. (STLA) is trading 56.2% below its 200-week moving average of $13.15. The current price is $5.76.
What is STLA's 200-week moving average price?
Stellantis N.V.'s 200-week moving average is $13.15 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when STLA drops below its 200-week moving average?
STLA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +38.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 32 weeks on average.
Is STLA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about STLA as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 29 (oversold). Price-to-book is 0.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does STLA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 15.2 years, $100 invested in STLA would have grown to $151, compared to $725 for the S&P 500. That's 2.8% annualized vs 13.9% for the index. STLA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does STLA pay a dividend?
Yes. Stellantis N.V. currently pays a dividend yield of 1058.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31