SRPT

Sarepta Therapeutics Inc. Healthcare - Biotechnology Investor Relations →

YES
80.5% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was -78.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $95.05
14-Week RSI 39

Sarepta Therapeutics Inc. (SRPT) closed at $18.50 as of 2026-02-02, trading 80.5% below its 200-week moving average of $95.05. This places SRPT in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -78.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 39, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1448 weeks of data, SRPT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 35 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SRPT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.2%.

With a market cap of $1939 million, SRPT is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -21.4%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.

Share count has increased 11.2% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 27.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SRPT would have grown to $44, compared to $1027 for the S&P 500. SRPT has returned -2.9% annualized vs 8.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: SRPT vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After SRPT Crosses Below the Line?

Across 22 historical episodes, buying SRPT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.0% after 12 months (median -1.0%), compared to +8.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 41% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +96.8% vs +14.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SRPT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

SRPT has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +34.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 1998Nov 19997757.7%-38.6%-53.0%
Dec 1999Dec 199914.4%+33.3%-39.1%
Jul 2000Jul 200014.0%+39.7%-51.9%
Oct 2000Apr 20013040.7%+17.1%-51.2%
Apr 2002Apr 200210.5%-47.4%-55.8%
May 2002Jan 200619171.8%-5.6%-47.4%
Jun 2006Aug 20061033.2%-23.1%-20.7%
Sep 2006Oct 200657.1%-24.0%-12.9%
Nov 2006Jul 201019183.3%-35.1%-14.1%
Mar 2011Apr 201114.0%-0.6%+98.9%
Jun 2011Jul 2011413.3%-48.9%+128.4%
Jul 2011Mar 20123360.4%-4.1%+109.8%
Apr 2012Jul 20121655.4%+497.5%+205.3%
Nov 2013Nov 2013210.0%+6.7%+28.7%
Oct 2014Oct 201413.9%+97.6%-1.4%
Oct 2014May 20152939.4%+48.8%+14.4%
Jan 2016Aug 20163251.8%+164.9%+29.6%
Jan 2021Aug 20228343.9%+3.9%-77.5%
Oct 2022Nov 202223.2%-24.7%-82.1%
Jul 2023Aug 202331.9%+37.5%-82.5%
Oct 2023Jan 20241127.7%+22.8%-82.7%
Feb 2025Ongoing51+88.5%Ongoing-82.6%
Average35+34.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02