SRE
Sempra Utilities - Multi-Utilities Investor Relations →
Sempra (SRE) closed at $81.31 as of 2026-09-18, trading 6.5% above its 200-week moving average of $76.34. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 9.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.83 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1424 weeks of data, SRE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SRE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.3%.
With a market cap of $53.2 billion, SRE is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 6.7%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Share count has increased 3.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 27.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SRE would have grown to $1843, compared to $894 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.3% vs 8.3% for the index — confirming SRE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SRE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SRE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying SRE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.2% after 12 months (median +20.0%), compared to +17.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 81% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.5% vs +21.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SRE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. SRE currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | $1.06 | $1.16 | +9.7% |
| 2026-05-07 | $1.51 | $1.51 | -0.3% |
| 2026-02-26 | $1.17 | $1.28 | +9.2% |
| 2025-11-05 | $0.91 | $1.11 | +21.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SRE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SRE has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +23.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1999 | Jul 1999 | 4 | 7.0% | -7.6% | +1850.9% |
| Jul 1999 | Sep 2000 | 62 | 19.3% | -14.6% | +1732.9% |
| Jan 2001 | Jan 2001 | 3 | 7.0% | +32.7% | +1843.7% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 4 | 13.9% | +45.8% | +1655.1% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 5 | 11.0% | +55.9% | +1683.8% |
| Oct 2008 | Jun 2009 | 35 | 20.8% | +41.9% | +647.2% |
| Jul 2009 | Jul 2009 | 1 | 1.7% | +6.8% | +481.7% |
| Sep 2009 | Sep 2009 | 1 | 0.1% | +12.3% | +465.7% |
| Feb 2010 | Mar 2010 | 4 | 1.4% | +11.0% | +450.9% |
| Mar 2010 | Mar 2010 | 1 | 0.8% | +10.3% | +450.3% |
| Apr 2010 | Aug 2010 | 16 | 10.9% | +13.1% | +450.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 1.3% | +50.1% | +443.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 11.1% | +24.9% | +87.6% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 0.2% | +25.3% | +74.8% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 | 0.4% | +26.1% | +66.8% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 6 | 6.6% | +38.0% | +22.9% |
| Average | 9 | — | +23.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SRE below its 200-week moving average?
No. Sempra (SRE) is currently 6.5% above its 200-week moving average of $76.34. It would need to fall to $76.34 to cross below the line.
What is SRE's 200-week moving average price?
Sempra's 200-week moving average is $76.34 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SRE drops below its 200-week moving average?
SRE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 9 weeks on average.
Is SRE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SRE as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 6.7%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SRE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27.3 years, $100 invested in SRE would have grown to $1843, compared to $894 for the S&P 500. That's 11.3% annualized vs 8.3% for the index. SRE has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SRE pay a dividend?
Yes. Sempra currently pays a dividend yield of 323.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18