SPG
Simon Property Group Inc. Real Estate - Retail REITs Investor Relations →
Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) closed at $199.60 as of 2026-02-02, trading 52.9% above its 200-week moving average of $130.53. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 47.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, SPG is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1629 weeks of data, SPG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SPG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +16.4%.
With a market cap of $75.3 billion, SPG is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 104.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 12.6x book value.
Over the past 31.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SPG would have grown to $4530, compared to $2629 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.9% vs 11.0% for the index — confirming SPG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: SPG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SPG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying SPG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.4% after 12 months (median +20.0%), compared to +18.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.1% vs +34.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SPG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SPG has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +16.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1994 | Feb 1995 | 13 | 7.6% | +7.0% | +4405.9% |
| Apr 1995 | May 1995 | 2 | 0.6% | +5.0% | +4231.6% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 1 | 0.4% | +24.5% | +4156.2% |
| Jan 1996 | Jan 1996 | 1 | 0.7% | +43.6% | +4156.2% |
| Jan 1996 | Feb 1996 | 2 | 3.6% | +44.1% | +4283.0% |
| Apr 1996 | Apr 1996 | 2 | 0.9% | +47.8% | +4138.5% |
| Mar 1999 | Mar 1999 | 1 | 0.8% | +3.8% | +3018.2% |
| Sep 1999 | Apr 2000 | 32 | 13.4% | +3.7% | +2913.9% |
| May 2000 | Jul 2000 | 5 | 10.2% | +20.2% | +2726.1% |
| Jul 2000 | Dec 2000 | 18 | 10.5% | +25.3% | +2690.5% |
| Oct 2008 | Nov 2009 | 60 | 66.7% | -6.6% | +473.5% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 5 | 6.1% | +36.1% | +464.2% |
| Apr 2017 | Jun 2018 | 60 | 12.2% | -1.0% | +92.6% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 0.3% | -7.2% | +78.0% |
| May 2019 | May 2021 | 104 | 69.3% | -62.8% | +77.0% |
| Apr 2022 | Oct 2022 | 27 | 18.9% | +2.2% | +108.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 0.5% | +55.9% | +123.5% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 0.7% | +53.5% | +125.9% |
| Average | 19 | — | +16.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02