SPB
Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. Consumer Staples - Household Products Investor Relations →
Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) closed at $83.97 as of 2026-06-19, trading 22.5% above its 200-week moving average of $68.57. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 21.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2428 weeks of data, SPB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 58 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SPB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.7%.
With a market cap of $1948 million, SPB is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 6.6%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 41.9% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SPB would have grown to $328, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. SPB has returned 3.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SPB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SPB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying SPB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.1% after 12 months (median +2.0%), compared to +9.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +0.1% vs +7.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SPB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SPB would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SPB's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-06.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $71.11 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $78.26 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $87.03 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $98.00 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $112.14 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SPB's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SPB has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +7.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1982 | Aug 1983 | 76 | 37.5% | +6.2% | -80.0% |
| Sep 1983 | Mar 1984 | 26 | 21.9% | +11.2% | -84.0% |
| Jun 1984 | Sep 1984 | 12 | 23.0% | -43.1% | -84.4% |
| Sep 1984 | Oct 1993 | 472 | 88.3% | -56.9% | -83.6% |
| May 1994 | Feb 1997 | 144 | 37.6% | -30.6% | +179.9% |
| Mar 1997 | Jun 1997 | 10 | 5.6% | +234.0% | +242.2% |
| Aug 1999 | Jan 2003 | 181 | 77.7% | -56.0% | +100.9% |
| Nov 2005 | Nov 2005 | 1 | 1.2% | N/A | +184.2% |
| Dec 2005 | Apr 2006 | 17 | 6.3% | +15.5% | +182.3% |
| Jul 2006 | Aug 2006 | 4 | 2.9% | +7.6% | +161.2% |
| Sep 2006 | Dec 2006 | 12 | 12.4% | +8.3% | +164.0% |
| Jan 2007 | Jan 2007 | 1 | 0.3% | +5.2% | +147.2% |
| Feb 2007 | Feb 2007 | 1 | 1.3% | +3.0% | +147.6% |
| Feb 2007 | Mar 2007 | 4 | 1.2% | +0.4% | +143.7% |
| Apr 2007 | Sep 2007 | 23 | 6.4% | +4.0% | +151.2% |
| Oct 2007 | Dec 2007 | 8 | 1.4% | -5.2% | +142.0% |
| Jan 2008 | May 2009 | 71 | 18.2% | -3.8% | +143.7% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2009 | 1 | 0.5% | -11.6% | +153.5% |
| Mar 2010 | Jun 2012 | 116 | 35.5% | -24.7% | +151.6% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 1.4% | +65.0% | +58.3% |
| Apr 2018 | Dec 2020 | 137 | 65.9% | -8.7% | +49.9% |
| Aug 2022 | Apr 2023 | 33 | 40.7% | +27.8% | +41.6% |
| Nov 2023 | Nov 2023 | 2 | 4.4% | +32.7% | +32.6% |
| Mar 2025 | Feb 2026 | 48 | 30.8% | +4.9% | +15.8% |
| Average | 58 | — | +7.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPB below its 200-week moving average?
No. Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) is currently 22.5% above its 200-week moving average of $68.57. It would need to fall to $68.57 to cross below the line.
What is SPB's 200-week moving average price?
Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $68.57 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SPB drops below its 200-week moving average?
SPB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 58 weeks on average.
Is SPB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SPB as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 66. Free cash flow yield is 11.4%. Return on equity is 6.6%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SPB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in SPB would have grown to $328, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 3.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. SPB has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19