SNPS
Synopsys Inc. Technology - EDA Software Investor Relations →
Synopsys Inc. (SNPS) closed at $455.51 as of 2026-06-19, trading 2.7% below its 200-week moving average of $468.18. This places SNPS in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -3.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.02 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1742 weeks of data, SNPS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SNPS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +30.2%.
With a market cap of $87.2 billion, SNPS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.1%. Return on equity stands at 3.8%. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
Share count has increased 22.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SNPS would have grown to $5694, compared to $3064 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.9% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming SNPS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -5.5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SNPS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SNPS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 33 historical episodes, buying SNPS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.1% after 12 months (median +31.0%), compared to +8.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +37.6% vs +20.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SNPS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SNPS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SNPS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-04-30).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $403.31 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $431.64 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $464.24 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $502.17 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $546.85 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SNPS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SNPS has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +30.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1993 | Mar 1993 | 2 | 11.2% | +42.0% | +6210.1% |
| Apr 1994 | Apr 1994 | 1 | 2.4% | +42.4% | +4961.2% |
| Jun 1994 | Jun 1994 | 1 | 2.7% | +69.8% | +4961.2% |
| Jul 1994 | Jul 1994 | 1 | 1.4% | +75.3% | +4891.9% |
| Aug 1994 | Aug 1994 | 1 | 1.2% | +63.8% | +4874.9% |
| Mar 1997 | Apr 1997 | 5 | 15.3% | +24.2% | +3354.1% |
| Jan 1998 | Jan 1998 | 1 | 2.4% | +78.9% | +2803.6% |
| Jan 1998 | Feb 1998 | 1 | 4.2% | +87.7% | +2844.7% |
| Mar 1998 | Apr 1998 | 5 | 8.5% | +45.3% | +2746.9% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 8 | 16.3% | +78.5% | +2746.9% |
| Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | 0.5% | +19.4% | +2001.8% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 4 | 14.2% | +39.8% | +2325.3% |
| Apr 2000 | May 2000 | 7 | 10.0% | +35.0% | +2210.0% |
| Jun 2000 | Dec 2000 | 27 | 29.6% | +25.6% | +1988.3% |
| Jul 2001 | Jul 2001 | 1 | 1.0% | +19.2% | +1908.4% |
| Aug 2001 | Oct 2001 | 7 | 19.9% | -6.5% | +1874.5% |
| Feb 2002 | Feb 2002 | 1 | 3.2% | -11.5% | +1858.8% |
| Apr 2002 | May 2002 | 2 | 13.8% | +3.5% | +1897.9% |
| Jul 2002 | Nov 2002 | 18 | 29.2% | +41.9% | +1905.8% |
| Dec 2002 | Apr 2003 | 21 | 23.7% | +34.7% | +1908.0% |
| Jul 2004 | Nov 2006 | 124 | 43.0% | -28.1% | +1727.9% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.0% | -10.7% | +1991.4% |
| Aug 2008 | Sep 2009 | 56 | 31.3% | -2.7% | +1986.6% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 1 | 2.5% | +13.7% | +1980.0% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 2.2% | +16.2% | +1968.6% |
| Nov 2009 | Apr 2010 | 19 | 9.1% | +14.5% | +1930.8% |
| May 2010 | Aug 2010 | 15 | 10.1% | +25.8% | +2035.5% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 2 | 2.1% | +35.5% | +1920.9% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 6.8% | +2.0% | +17.4% |
| Sep 2025 | Sep 2025 | 1 | 3.7% | N/A | +7.1% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 1.2% | N/A | +3.8% |
| Nov 2025 | Dec 2025 | 4 | 13.0% | N/A | +15.8% |
| Feb 2026 | Apr 2026 | 11 | 17.3% | N/A | +6.7% |
| Jun 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 3.0% | Ongoing | -2.0% |
| Average | 10 | — | +30.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNPS below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Synopsys Inc. (SNPS) is trading 2.7% below its 200-week moving average of $468.18. The current price is $455.51.
What is SNPS's 200-week moving average price?
Synopsys Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $468.18 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SNPS drops below its 200-week moving average?
SNPS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +30.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is SNPS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SNPS as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 57. Free cash flow yield is 4.1%. Return on equity is 3.8%. Price-to-book is 2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SNPS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.4 years, $100 invested in SNPS would have grown to $5694, compared to $3064 for the S&P 500. That's 12.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. SNPS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19