SNEX
StoneX Group Inc. Financial Services - Brokerage Investor Relations →
StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) closed at $139.01 as of 2026-06-19, trading 204.4% above its 200-week moving average of $45.66. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 189.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 87, SNEX is in overbought territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.1x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1584 weeks of data, SNEX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SNEX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +32.8%.
With a market cap of $11.0 billion, SNEX is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 20.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.1x book value.
Share count has increased 14.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 30.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SNEX would have grown to $23789, compared to $1978 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 19.7% vs 10.3% for the index — confirming SNEX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SNEX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SNEX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying SNEX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.6% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +22.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.2% vs +48.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SNEX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SNEX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SNEX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $83.98 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $91.15 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $99.65 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $109.92 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $122.53 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SNEX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SNEX has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +32.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1996 | Mar 1996 | 2 | 1.8% | +23.8% | +23688.6% |
| Nov 1996 | Nov 1996 | 1 | 11.0% | +52.2% | +21620.0% |
| Dec 1996 | Dec 1996 | 3 | 11.1% | +33.3% | +20715.0% |
| Jan 1997 | Feb 1997 | 4 | 7.2% | +23.2% | +19882.4% |
| Mar 1997 | Jun 1997 | 12 | 14.6% | +19.2% | +20715.0% |
| Aug 1997 | Aug 1997 | 1 | 2.9% | -12.0% | +19882.4% |
| May 1998 | Feb 1999 | 36 | 55.9% | +160.4% | +18436.6% |
| Nov 2000 | Aug 2003 | 142 | 88.6% | -79.9% | +11273.5% |
| Sep 2003 | Oct 2003 | 6 | 11.1% | +164.2% | +15034.1% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2010 | 104 | 63.8% | +23.4% | +2944.5% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 4 | 5.8% | -9.0% | +2394.2% |
| Aug 2012 | Sep 2012 | 4 | 2.3% | +5.5% | +2489.2% |
| Oct 2012 | Sep 2013 | 49 | 16.9% | +9.0% | +2396.9% |
| Dec 2013 | Feb 2015 | 60 | 16.6% | +12.1% | +2513.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 4.8% | +39.3% | +1226.1% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 7 | 9.8% | +13.3% | +1159.5% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 3 | 5.0% | +59.3% | +1181.9% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 11 | 22.8% | +52.3% | +1059.0% |
| Average | 25 | — | +32.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNEX below its 200-week moving average?
No. StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) is currently 204.4% above its 200-week moving average of $45.66. It would need to fall to $45.66 to cross below the line.
What is SNEX's 200-week moving average price?
StoneX Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $45.66 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SNEX drops below its 200-week moving average?
SNEX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +32.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is SNEX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SNEX as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 87 (overbought). Return on equity is 20.2%. Price-to-book is 4.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SNEX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 30.4 years, $100 invested in SNEX would have grown to $23789, compared to $1978 for the S&P 500. That's 19.7% annualized vs 10.3% for the index. SNEX has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19