SNDR
Schneider National, Inc. Industrials - Trucking Investor Relations →
Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) closed at $35.74 as of 2026-07-31, trading 39.2% above its 200-week moving average of $25.68. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 46.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 65, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.18 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 438 weeks of data, SNDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SNDR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.2%.
With a market cap of $6.3 billion, SNDR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.4%. Return on equity stands at 3.7%. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.
Over the past 8.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SNDR would have grown to $167, compared to $322 for the S&P 500. SNDR has returned 6.2% annualized vs 14.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 3.9% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SNDR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SNDR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying SNDR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.4% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +23.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 91% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.3% vs +34.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SNDR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SNDR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SNDR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $23.95 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $26.57 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $29.83 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $34.01 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $39.55 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SNDR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SNDR has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +19.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2019 | 55 | 28.6% | -8.3% | +82.8% |
| Nov 2019 | May 2020 | 27 | 21.2% | +6.1% | +88.4% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 0.0% | +12.7% | +88.9% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 2.6% | +25.0% | +91.4% |
| Dec 2020 | Jan 2021 | 1 | 0.0% | +31.5% | +86.2% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 0.2% | +8.2% | +80.4% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 4.4% | +36.4% | +79.9% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 4 | 5.3% | +30.4% | +68.2% |
| Feb 2024 | Jun 2024 | 17 | 10.5% | +16.8% | +61.8% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 16 | 11.7% | +1.4% | +53.2% |
| Jul 2025 | Dec 2025 | 18 | 13.6% | +50.5% | +50.5% |
| Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | 2 | 3.8% | N/A | +51.1% |
| Average | 12 | — | +19.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNDR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) is currently 39.2% above its 200-week moving average of $25.68. It would need to fall to $25.68 to cross below the line.
What is SNDR's 200-week moving average price?
Schneider National, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $25.68 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SNDR drops below its 200-week moving average?
SNDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +19.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is SNDR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SNDR as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 65. Free cash flow yield is 0.4%. Return on equity is 3.7%. Price-to-book is 2.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SNDR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.4 years, $100 invested in SNDR would have grown to $167, compared to $322 for the S&P 500. That's 6.2% annualized vs 14.9% for the index. SNDR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SNDR pay a dividend?
Yes. Schneider National, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 117.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31