SNDR

Schneider National, Inc. Industrials - Trucking Investor Relations →

NO
41.6% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 52.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $25.19
14-Week RSI 82
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.0x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.05

Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) closed at $35.68 as of 2026-06-19, trading 41.6% above its 200-week moving average of $25.19. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 52.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 82, SNDR is in overbought territory.

Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.05 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 432 weeks of data, SNDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SNDR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.3%.

With a market cap of $6.2 billion, SNDR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.9%. Return on equity stands at 3.3%. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.

Over the past 8.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SNDR would have grown to $166, compared to $323 for the S&P 500. SNDR has returned 6.3% annualized vs 15.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 3.9% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: SNDR vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After SNDR Crosses Below the Line?

Across 12 historical episodes, buying SNDR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.2% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +22.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 89% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.6% vs +37.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SNDR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SNDR would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score -2.23σ
Current FCF Yield 7.58%
Baseline Yield 10.44%
Historical σ 0.97pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where SNDR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-30.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$24.13Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$26.32Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$28.94Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$32.14Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$36.13Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from SNDR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -0.48σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -2.56σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative -0.34σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +0.5pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +1.1pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-4.9pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

SNDR has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +14.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 2018Oct 20195528.6%-8.3%+82.5%
Nov 2019May 20202721.2%+6.1%+88.1%
Jun 2020Jun 202010.3%+12.6%+89.1%
Oct 2020Nov 202027.3%+25.0%+91.1%
Jul 2021Jul 202110.2%+8.2%+80.1%
Sep 2022Oct 202244.4%+36.4%+79.6%
Oct 2023Nov 202345.3%+30.4%+67.9%
Feb 2024Jun 20241710.4%+16.8%+61.6%
Mar 2025Jun 20251611.7%+1.4%+53.6%
Jul 2025Aug 202532.9%N/A+50.2%
Sep 2025Dec 20251313.6%N/A+47.4%
Mar 2026Mar 202624.1%N/A+51.5%
Average12+14.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SNDR below its 200-week moving average?

No. Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) is currently 41.6% above its 200-week moving average of $25.19. It would need to fall to $25.19 to cross below the line.

What is SNDR's 200-week moving average price?

Schneider National, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $25.19 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when SNDR drops below its 200-week moving average?

SNDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.

Is SNDR a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about SNDR as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 82 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 2.9%. Return on equity is 3.3%. Price-to-book is 2.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does SNDR compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 8.3 years, $100 invested in SNDR would have grown to $166, compared to $323 for the S&P 500. That's 6.3% annualized vs 15.1% for the index. SNDR has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does SNDR pay a dividend?

Yes. Schneider National, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 108.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19