SNDL
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SNDL Inc. (SNDL) closed at $1.51 as of 2026-02-02, trading 25.0% below its 200-week moving average of $2.01. This places SNDL in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -24.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 34, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 292 weeks of data, SNDL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 96 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SNDL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.9%.
With a market cap of $389 million, SNDL is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 16.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -8.0%. The stock trades at 0.5x book value.
Share count has increased 27.7% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 5.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SNDL would have grown to $26, compared to $228 for the S&P 500. SNDL has returned -21.2% annualized vs 15.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: SNDL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SNDL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying SNDL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.0% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +36.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -61.0% vs +30.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SNDL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SNDL has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +9.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2025 | 268 | 94.0% | +9.9% | -81.4% |
| Sep 2025 | Sep 2025 | 3 | 2.2% | N/A | -37.3% |
| Oct 2025 | Ongoing | 17+ | 27.9% | Ongoing | -35.2% |
| Average | 96 | — | +9.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02