SNA
Snap-on Incorporated Industrials - Tools Investor Relations →
Snap-on Incorporated (SNA) closed at $387.25 as of 2026-06-19, trading 36.2% above its 200-week moving average of $284.29. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 36.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.69 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 2734 weeks of data, SNA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SNA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.8%.
With a market cap of $20.1 billion, SNA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 18.2%, a solid level. The stock trades at 3.4x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 2.1% reduction over three years. SNA passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SNA would have grown to $4272, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.9% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming SNA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 19.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SNA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SNA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 27 historical episodes, buying SNA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.4% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +19.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 77% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.9% vs +33.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SNA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SNA would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SNA's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-16.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $359.91 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $368.91 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $378.37 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $388.33 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $398.83 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SNA's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SNA has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +14.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Mar 1978 | 216 | 55.4% | -33.5% | +15600.2% |
| Dec 1980 | Dec 1980 | 2 | 3.0% | +6.7% | +18129.1% |
| Aug 1981 | Apr 1982 | 36 | 20.3% | +7.3% | +16461.8% |
| Jul 1982 | Aug 1982 | 3 | 7.1% | +47.3% | +16164.3% |
| Sep 1982 | Oct 1982 | 2 | 2.1% | +39.4% | +15420.8% |
| Nov 1989 | Apr 1990 | 20 | 8.2% | -5.9% | +4663.2% |
| Apr 1990 | Apr 1990 | 1 | 2.2% | -4.1% | +4494.7% |
| Aug 1990 | Jul 1991 | 48 | 20.3% | +6.3% | +4622.3% |
| Aug 1991 | Dec 1991 | 18 | 10.1% | +1.7% | +4443.6% |
| Jun 1992 | Jul 1992 | 3 | 3.9% | +29.4% | +4442.8% |
| Jul 1992 | Aug 1992 | 2 | 2.8% | +36.7% | +4461.3% |
| Aug 1992 | Sep 1992 | 2 | 0.8% | +39.8% | +4369.0% |
| Sep 1992 | Dec 1992 | 11 | 10.9% | +26.9% | +4369.0% |
| Oct 1994 | Dec 1994 | 9 | 6.6% | +37.2% | +4059.9% |
| Jan 1995 | Jan 1995 | 3 | 4.5% | +38.6% | +3897.4% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 8 | 15.4% | +14.7% | +2467.5% |
| Nov 1998 | Nov 1998 | 1 | 0.5% | -6.5% | +2304.3% |
| Dec 1998 | Dec 1998 | 1 | 0.5% | -9.9% | +2288.9% |
| Feb 1999 | May 1999 | 13 | 15.4% | -14.1% | +2330.6% |
| Sep 1999 | Nov 2001 | 114 | 35.7% | -7.4% | +2168.2% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 5 | 7.9% | +14.0% | +2606.4% |
| Sep 2002 | Nov 2002 | 9 | 18.3% | +25.0% | +2787.8% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 12 | 12.5% | +29.6% | +2451.2% |
| Oct 2008 | Dec 2009 | 63 | 48.8% | -6.4% | +1356.5% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 2.6% | +41.1% | +1270.5% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 3.0% | +61.5% | +1269.4% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 2 | 1.9% | +14.9% | +1250.3% |
| Mar 2018 | May 2018 | 8 | 2.7% | +4.8% | +227.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | 3.5% | +7.2% | +214.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 10.2% | +12.0% | +212.0% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 1.3% | +4.3% | +207.8% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 3.0% | -31.7% | +212.3% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 8 | 6.3% | -4.0% | +210.4% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 26 | 37.4% | +43.5% | +215.3% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 4 | 5.0% | +51.5% | +204.1% |
| Average | 19 | — | +14.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Snap-on Incorporated (SNA) is currently 36.2% above its 200-week moving average of $284.29. It would need to fall to $284.29 to cross below the line.
What is SNA's 200-week moving average price?
Snap-on Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $284.29 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SNA drops below its 200-week moving average?
SNA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is SNA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SNA as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 62. Free cash flow yield is 5.2%. Return on equity is 18.2%. Price-to-book is 3.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SNA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in SNA would have grown to $4272, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 11.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. SNA has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SNA pay a dividend?
Yes. Snap-on Incorporated currently pays a dividend yield of 251.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19