SNA
Snap-on Incorporated Industrials - Tools Investor Relations →
Snap-on Incorporated (SNA) closed at $410.41 as of 2026-07-31, trading 41.1% above its 200-week moving average of $290.82. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 39.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.88 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2740 weeks of data, SNA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SNA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.4%.
With a market cap of $21.2 billion, SNA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 17.9%, a solid level. The stock trades at 3.5x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 2.1% reduction over three years. SNA passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SNA would have grown to $4528, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.0% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming SNA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 19.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SNA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SNA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying SNA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.4% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +19.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.3% vs +33.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SNA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SNA would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SNA's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $359.49 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $370.00 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $381.13 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $392.96 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $405.55 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SNA's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SNA has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +15.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Mar 1978 | 216 | 55.4% | -33.5% | +16539.2% |
| Dec 1980 | Dec 1980 | 2 | 3.0% | +6.7% | +19219.3% |
| Aug 1981 | Apr 1982 | 36 | 20.3% | +7.3% | +17452.3% |
| Jul 1982 | Aug 1982 | 3 | 7.1% | +47.3% | +17137.0% |
| Sep 1982 | Oct 1982 | 2 | 2.1% | +39.4% | +16349.0% |
| Nov 1989 | Apr 1990 | 20 | 8.2% | -5.9% | +4905.9% |
| Apr 1990 | Apr 1990 | 1 | 2.3% | -4.1% | +4769.4% |
| Aug 1990 | Jul 1991 | 48 | 20.4% | +6.3% | +4904.7% |
| Aug 1991 | Dec 1991 | 18 | 10.1% | +1.7% | +4715.3% |
| Jun 1992 | Jul 1992 | 3 | 4.0% | +29.4% | +4714.5% |
| Jul 1992 | Aug 1992 | 2 | 2.8% | +36.7% | +4734.1% |
| Aug 1992 | Sep 1992 | 3 | 0.9% | +39.8% | +4636.3% |
| Sep 1992 | Dec 1992 | 11 | 10.9% | +26.9% | +4636.3% |
| Oct 1994 | Dec 1994 | 9 | 5.9% | +37.2% | +4308.7% |
| Jan 1995 | Jan 1995 | 3 | 4.6% | +38.6% | +4136.5% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 8 | 15.5% | +14.7% | +2602.5% |
| Dec 1998 | Dec 1998 | 1 | 0.5% | -9.9% | +2431.8% |
| Feb 1999 | May 1999 | 13 | 15.4% | -14.1% | +2475.9% |
| Sep 1999 | Nov 2001 | 114 | 35.8% | -7.4% | +2303.8% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 5 | 7.9% | +14.0% | +2768.3% |
| Sep 2002 | Nov 2002 | 9 | 18.4% | +25.0% | +2960.5% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 12 | 12.5% | +29.6% | +2603.8% |
| Oct 2008 | Dec 2009 | 63 | 48.8% | -6.4% | +1443.6% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 2.7% | +41.1% | +1352.4% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 3.1% | +61.5% | +1351.3% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 2 | 1.3% | +14.8% | +1320.9% |
| Mar 2018 | May 2018 | 8 | 2.8% | +4.8% | +246.9% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | 3.6% | +7.2% | +233.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 10.2% | +12.0% | +230.7% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 1.3% | +4.3% | +226.2% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 3.0% | -31.7% | +231.0% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 8 | 5.7% | -4.0% | +229.0% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 26 | 37.4% | +44.4% | +234.2% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 4 | 5.1% | +51.5% | +222.3% |
| Average | 20 | — | +15.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Snap-on Incorporated (SNA) is currently 41.1% above its 200-week moving average of $290.82. It would need to fall to $290.82 to cross below the line.
What is SNA's 200-week moving average price?
Snap-on Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $290.82 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SNA drops below its 200-week moving average?
SNA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +15.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is SNA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SNA as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 66. Free cash flow yield is 5.2%. Return on equity is 17.9%. Price-to-book is 3.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SNA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in SNA would have grown to $4528, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 12.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. SNA has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SNA pay a dividend?
Yes. Snap-on Incorporated currently pays a dividend yield of 239.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31