SMMT
Summit Therapeutics Inc. Healthcare - Biotechnology Investor Relations →
Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT) closed at $13.75 as of 2026-06-19, trading 22.5% above its 200-week moving average of $11.23. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 25.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.56 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 541 weeks of data, SMMT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SMMT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +116.6%.
With a market cap of $10.7 billion, SMMT is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.7%. Return on equity stands at -271.0%. The stock trades at 19.5x book value.
Share count has increased 267.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 10.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SMMT would have grown to $208, compared to $458 for the S&P 500. SMMT has returned 7.3% annualized vs 15.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 10 open-market purchases totaling $126,586,111. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SMMT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SMMT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying SMMT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +46.0% after 12 months (median +29.0%), compared to +9.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +102.3% vs +28.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SMMT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. SMMT currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SMMT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SMMT has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +116.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2016 | Oct 2016 | 34 | 38.1% | +50.5% | +87.1% |
| Dec 2016 | Jan 2017 | 5 | 13.0% | +24.7% | +46.0% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2017 | 2 | 12.7% | -81.6% | +35.9% |
| Dec 2017 | Dec 2017 | 1 | 1.3% | -88.2% | +34.0% |
| Jun 2018 | Jan 2021 | 134 | 87.8% | -48.4% | +461.2% |
| Dec 2021 | Dec 2022 | 50 | 75.7% | +21.1% | +353.8% |
| Jan 2023 | Jan 2024 | 51 | 60.2% | +20.1% | +325.7% |
| Mar 2024 | Mar 2024 | 1 | 2.9% | +486.1% | +308.0% |
| May 2024 | May 2024 | 1 | 3.2% | +664.8% | +306.8% |
| Average | 31 | — | +116.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SMMT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT) is currently 22.5% above its 200-week moving average of $11.23. It would need to fall to $11.23 to cross below the line.
What is SMMT's 200-week moving average price?
Summit Therapeutics Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $11.23 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SMMT drops below its 200-week moving average?
SMMT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +116.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 31 weeks on average.
Is SMMT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SMMT as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 46. Free cash flow yield is 0.7%. Return on equity is -271.0%. Price-to-book is 19.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SMMT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.4 years, $100 invested in SMMT would have grown to $208, compared to $458 for the S&P 500. That's 7.3% annualized vs 15.7% for the index. SMMT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19