SMFG
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. (SMFG) closed at $25.23 as of 2026-06-19, trading 98.9% above its 200-week moving average of $12.68. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 93.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 79, SMFG is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.10 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1016 weeks of data, SMFG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 43 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -4.8%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $160.3 billion, SMFG is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 9.8%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 19.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SMFG would have grown to $135, compared to $743 for the S&P 500. SMFG has returned 1.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SMFG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SMFG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying SMFG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -4.7% after 12 months (median -7.0%), compared to +2.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 21% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +6.4% vs +16.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SMFG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SMFG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SMFG has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +-4.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2007 | Nov 2012 | 308 | 66.8% | -29.5% | +29.4% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 1.6% | +7.5% | +261.0% |
| Dec 2014 | Feb 2015 | 11 | 10.1% | +3.3% | +254.2% |
| Aug 2015 | Nov 2015 | 9 | 3.2% | -6.5% | +245.9% |
| Nov 2015 | Sep 2017 | 96 | 35.3% | -8.1% | +230.8% |
| Jul 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 0.4% | -7.6% | +249.1% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.4% | -7.3% | +248.2% |
| Nov 2018 | Dec 2019 | 55 | 16.1% | -3.8% | +249.5% |
| Dec 2019 | Mar 2021 | 62 | 37.6% | -18.8% | +258.0% |
| Apr 2021 | May 2021 | 2 | 1.2% | -14.1% | +276.9% |
| Jun 2021 | Aug 2021 | 11 | 5.7% | -15.6% | +285.6% |
| Sep 2021 | Jan 2022 | 14 | 7.6% | -21.1% | +280.6% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 4.0% | +28.5% | +303.8% |
| Mar 2022 | Nov 2022 | 33 | 16.4% | +25.8% | +317.1% |
| Average | 43 | — | +-4.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SMFG below its 200-week moving average?
No. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. (SMFG) is currently 98.9% above its 200-week moving average of $12.68. It would need to fall to $12.68 to cross below the line.
What is SMFG's 200-week moving average price?
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $12.68 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SMFG drops below its 200-week moving average?
SMFG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -4.8%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 43 weeks on average.
Is SMFG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SMFG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 79 (overbought). Return on equity is 9.8%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SMFG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 19.5 years, $100 invested in SMFG would have grown to $135, compared to $743 for the S&P 500. That's 1.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. SMFG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SMFG pay a dividend?
Yes. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 228.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19