SLVM
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Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM) closed at $37.11 as of 2026-03-20, trading 27.6% below its 200-week moving average of $51.25. This places SLVM in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -19.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 25, SLVM is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.88 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 186 weeks of data, SLVM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SLVM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +64.8%.
With a market cap of $1466 million, SLVM is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 14.6%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 3.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SLVM would have grown to $96, compared to $173 for the S&P 500. SLVM has returned -1.2% annualized vs 16.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -46.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SLVM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SLVM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying SLVM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +62.5% after 12 months (median +93.0%), compared to +24.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +86.5% vs +56.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SLVM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SLVM has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +64.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 4.3% | +23.7% | +17.2% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2023 | 1 | 3.1% | +105.8% | +4.6% |
| Jul 2025 | Jan 2026 | 26 | 19.3% | N/A | -22.5% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 8+ | 27.6% | Ongoing | -24.2% |
| Average | 9 | — | +64.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLVM below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM) is trading 27.6% below its 200-week moving average of $51.25. The current price is $37.11.
What is SLVM's 200-week moving average price?
Sylvamo Corporation's 200-week moving average is $51.25 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SLVM drops below its 200-week moving average?
SLVM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +64.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 9 weeks on average.
Is SLVM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SLVM as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 25 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 14.6%. Price-to-book is 1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SLVM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 3.7 years, $100 invested in SLVM would have grown to $96, compared to $173 for the S&P 500. That's -1.2% annualized vs 16.1% for the index. SLVM has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SLVM pay a dividend?
Yes. Sylvamo Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 485.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20