SJM
The J.M. Smucker Company Consumer Staples - Food Investor Relations →
The J.M. Smucker Company (SJM) closed at $109.51 as of 2026-02-02, trading 5.8% below its 200-week moving average of $116.27. This places SJM in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -9.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1583 weeks of data, SJM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SJM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.3%.
With a market cap of $11.7 billion, SJM is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.8%. Return on equity stands at -17.4%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
SJM is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 402.00%.
Over the past 30.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SJM would have grown to $1172, compared to $2006 for the S&P 500. SJM has returned 8.4% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: SJM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SJM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying SJM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.8% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +15.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 72% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +31.7% vs +28.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SJM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SJM has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +13.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1995 | Jun 1997 | 87 | 22.0% | -16.3% | +1030.1% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 2 | 3.7% | +0.6% | +997.0% |
| Apr 1999 | May 1999 | 8 | 4.7% | -20.9% | +990.7% |
| Sep 1999 | Sep 2000 | 50 | 30.1% | +14.4% | +1003.5% |
| Feb 2006 | Jun 2006 | 18 | 7.6% | +32.4% | +442.4% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 2.7% | +10.7% | +342.1% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 4 | 10.8% | +20.3% | +339.9% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 1 | 1.7% | +34.1% | +325.1% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2008 | 2 | 8.7% | +32.1% | +332.3% |
| Dec 2008 | Dec 2008 | 4 | 2.8% | +46.3% | +319.5% |
| Feb 2009 | Jun 2009 | 15 | 17.0% | +49.9% | +321.5% |
| Aug 2017 | Nov 2017 | 14 | 9.7% | +2.8% | +35.5% |
| Apr 2018 | Mar 2019 | 48 | 18.5% | +8.2% | +22.3% |
| Jul 2019 | Mar 2020 | 38 | 10.2% | -4.9% | +18.6% |
| May 2020 | Jul 2020 | 10 | 5.6% | +28.6% | +20.9% |
| Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | 11 | 12.1% | +2.2% | -2.9% |
| Feb 2024 | Mar 2024 | 5 | 3.4% | -14.7% | -4.7% |
| Apr 2024 | Ongoing | 97+ | 20.5% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 23 | — | +13.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02