SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. Communication Services - Radio Investor Relations →
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) closed at $21.68 as of 2026-02-02, trading 39.3% below its 200-week moving average of $35.72. This places SIRI in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -43.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1590 weeks of data, SIRI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SIRI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +46.5%.
With a market cap of $7.3 billion, SIRI is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 7.1%. The stock trades at 0.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 30.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SIRI would have grown to $77, compared to $2085 for the S&P 500. SIRI has returned -0.9% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $106,454,379. Notably, these purchases occurred while SIRI is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -14.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: SIRI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SIRI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying SIRI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +36.4% after 12 months (median +2.0%), compared to +17.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +86.2% vs +26.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SIRI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SIRI has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +46.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1995 | Sep 1995 | 2 | 3.0% | +132.7% | -21.6% |
| Oct 1995 | Dec 1995 | 7 | 13.7% | +65.5% | -25.7% |
| Jan 1996 | Feb 1996 | 5 | 11.1% | +92.3% | -17.1% |
| Oct 1996 | Nov 1996 | 1 | 2.1% | +317.1% | -47.4% |
| Nov 1996 | Jan 1997 | 7 | 23.8% | +349.3% | -37.5% |
| Feb 1997 | Feb 1997 | 1 | 2.6% | +247.6% | -47.4% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2000 | 4 | 21.3% | -74.3% | -90.2% |
| Jan 2001 | Nov 2004 | 198 | 98.0% | -76.2% | -91.0% |
| Aug 2006 | Aug 2006 | 1 | 0.9% | -21.0% | -28.5% |
| Oct 2006 | Nov 2006 | 5 | 5.9% | -11.3% | -30.7% |
| Dec 2006 | Dec 2010 | 211 | 97.3% | -4.7% | -28.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 6 | 21.4% | +38.2% | -42.0% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 2 | 6.8% | +11.8% | -51.9% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 3 | 3.5% | +18.8% | -53.6% |
| Aug 2020 | Nov 2020 | 9 | 12.2% | +11.8% | -55.2% |
| Jan 2021 | Jan 2021 | 2 | 2.3% | +6.0% | -56.7% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 2 | 1.8% | +10.6% | -56.4% |
| May 2021 | May 2021 | 2 | 1.5% | +9.2% | -57.0% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 0.4% | +18.3% | -57.9% |
| Sep 2021 | Nov 2021 | 8 | 1.2% | +9.9% | -57.7% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 1 | 1.6% | +2.3% | -57.9% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 2.1% | -29.2% | -58.5% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 2 | 0.2% | -4.3% | -58.8% |
| Jan 2023 | Dec 2023 | 48 | 38.0% | -5.2% | -58.8% |
| Jan 2024 | Ongoing | 109+ | 56.2% | Ongoing | -54.9% |
| Average | 26 | — | +46.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02