SHW
The Sherwin-Williams Company Materials - Paints & Coatings Investor Relations →
The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) closed at $361.98 as of 2026-02-02, trading 22.7% above its 200-week moving average of $294.93. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 20.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, SHW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SHW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +33.3%.
With a market cap of $90.3 billion, SHW is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 59.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 19.4x book value.
SHW is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 87.00%. Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 3.8% reduction over three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SHW would have grown to $11718, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.4% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming SHW as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: SHW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SHW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying SHW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.7% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +8.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 78% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +41.8% vs +21.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SHW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SHW has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +33.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1981 | Oct 1981 | 5 | 8.7% | +56.2% | +183534.2% |
| Oct 1981 | Oct 1981 | 1 | 0.6% | +100.0% | +181052.3% |
| Jan 1982 | Feb 1982 | 5 | 1.6% | +117.4% | +179836.7% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 1 | 1.0% | +136.7% | +178637.1% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 1 | 7.0% | +27.1% | +38394.1% |
| Dec 1988 | Jan 1989 | 3 | 1.1% | +28.9% | +30493.2% |
| Jan 1989 | Jan 1989 | 1 | 0.5% | +27.7% | +30196.2% |
| Sep 1998 | Oct 1998 | 5 | 16.7% | +6.7% | +7298.7% |
| Feb 1999 | Mar 1999 | 3 | 7.1% | -23.8% | +6453.8% |
| Aug 1999 | Dec 2000 | 72 | 33.6% | -9.6% | +6145.8% |
| Jan 2001 | Jan 2001 | 2 | 4.5% | +7.8% | +6352.9% |
| Feb 2001 | Feb 2001 | 1 | 5.1% | +9.5% | +6393.6% |
| Mar 2001 | Oct 2001 | 30 | 18.6% | +21.0% | +6250.8% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 3 | 2.2% | +27.6% | +6303.1% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.3% | -12.0% | +2599.4% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.0% | +4.3% | +2579.6% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 6 | 8.7% | +11.0% | +2579.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 1 | 1.7% | +23.2% | +2505.6% |
| Jan 2009 | Mar 2009 | 10 | 18.5% | +26.7% | +2727.4% |
| May 2009 | Jun 2009 | 1 | 0.5% | +48.4% | +2379.9% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 2 | 3.9% | +38.6% | +2456.4% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 7 | 8.4% | +21.8% | +76.5% |
| Feb 2023 | Apr 2023 | 9 | 8.2% | +36.9% | +63.1% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 4 | 2.3% | +36.1% | +60.7% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 2 | 2.2% | +64.8% | +55.3% |
| Average | 7 | — | +33.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02